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\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf
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\u4f5c\u8005 | \u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u592b\u00b7\u96c5\u592b\u96f7\u6d1b\uff08Christophe Jaffrelot\uff09\u7f16\u8bd1 | \u9976\u91d1\u5c71\u7f16\u8bd1\u5ba1\u6838 | \u80e1\u53ef\u6021\u672c\u671f\u7f16\u8f91 | \u59dc\u5fc3\u5b87\u672c\u671f\u5ba1\u6838 | \u9648\u73cf\u53ef \u6c5f\u6021\u7f16\u8005\u6309\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4e0e\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4e09\u4e2a\u90bb\u56fd\u7d20\u6709\u5386\u53f2\u6069\u6028\u3002\u672c\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u901a\u8fc7\u65cf\u7fa4\u3001\u6b66\u88c5\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u8054\u76df\uff0c\u91cd\u5851\u4e86\u963f\u5df4\u5173\u7cfb\u53ca\u66f4\u5927\u533a\u57df\u683c\u5c40\u3002\u5728\u963f\u5df4\u5173\u7cfb\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u9677\u5165\u6218\u4e89\u6ce5\u6f6d\uff0c\u7f8e\u4ee5\u65bd\u538b\u8feb\u4f7f\u5370\u5ea6\u64a4\u51fa\u4f0a\u6717\u6070\u5df4\u54c8\u5c14\u6e2f\u7684\u6001\u52bf\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u88ab\u5305\u56f4\u5939\u51fb\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff1b\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u95f4\u63a5\u6fc0\u6d3b\u7684\u4f0a\u6717\u4e1c\u90e8\u4ffe\u8def\u652f\u8de8\u5883\u52bf\u529b\u4e5f\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5df4\u8fb9\u5883\u7d27\u5f20\u3002\u5728\u533a\u57df\u683c\u5c40\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u5730\u533a\u8054\u76df\u6b63\u671d\u201c\u7f8e\u2014\u4ee5\u2014\u5370\u2014\u963f\u8054\u914b\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u6c99\u7279\u2014\u5df4\u2014\u571f\u2014\u4e2d\u201d\u4e24\u5927\u9635\u8425\u91cd\u7ec4\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5176\u4e8c\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u548c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5728\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u4e3b\u4e49\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u6108\u53d1\u5bf9\u7acb\u3002\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u65cf\u7684\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u52bf\u529b\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u65e9\u671f\u66fe\u652f\u6301\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6218\u4e89\u671f\u95f4\u5411\u5176\u63d0\u4f9b\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u5728\u82cf\u8054\u89e3\u4f53\u540e\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u8fd8\u534f\u52a9\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u593a\u53d6\u653f\u6743\u30029\u00b711\u4e8b\u4ef6\u540e\uff0c\u8feb\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u91c7\u53d6\u4e24\u9762\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u505a\u6cd5\u4ee4\u90e8\u5206\u6781\u7aef\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e0e\u4e4b\u6e10\u884c\u6e10\u8fdc\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5df4\u4ecd\u4e0e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u4fdd\u6301\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u64a4\u519b\u540e\u91cd\u638c\u653f\u6743\uff0c\u5e76\u672a\u6309\u5df4\u65b9\u7684\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u7ea6\u675f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5df2\u4e0e\u5df4\u53cd\u76ee\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002\u65e9\u57281996\u5e74\u81f32001\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5c31\u5df2\u663e\u73b0\u6446\u8131\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u638c\u63a7\u7684\u8bc9\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5176\u4e09\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u6df1\u9677\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4e0e\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u53cc\u5411\u5939\u51fb\u4e4b\u5fe7\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4efd\u987e\u8651\u59cb\u7ec8\u5de6\u53f3\u7740\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u5821\u5bf9\u963f\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u5411\uff0c\u4e5f\u6b63\u662f\u8fd1\u6570\u6708\u5df4\u5bf9\u963f\u519b\u4e8b\u6253\u51fb\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u7f18\u7531\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6253\u51fb\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u8ba9\u672a\u66fe\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u5730\u533a\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u8005\u500d\u611f\u610f\u5916\u2014\u2014\u8981\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5f53\u5e74\u66fe\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c2021\u5e74\u4e0b\u4ee4\u7f8e\u519b\u64a4\u79bb\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u968f\u540e\u91cd\u638c\u653f\u6743\u8868\u793a\u8fc7\u6b22\u8fce\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e09\u5927\u51b2\u7a81\u8bf1\u56e0\uff0c\u770b\u4f3c\u5f7c\u6b64\u72ec\u7acb\uff0c\u5b9e\u5219\u6df1\u5ea6\u4ea4\u7ec7\u3002\u81ea\u5efa\u56fd\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4e3a\u904f\u5236\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u65cf\u7684\u9886\u571f\u6536\u590d\u8bc9\u6c42\u9891\u9891\u65bd\u7b56\uff0c\u5374\u5728\u65e0\u5f62\u4e2d\u4e3a\u65e5\u540e\u7684\u654c\u5bf9\u52bf\u529b\u57cb\u4e0b\u4e86\u6ecb\u751f\u7684\u571f\u58e4\uff0c\u53cd\u5012\u8ba9\u5176\u4e0d\u65ad\u5750\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u5212\u754c\u4e4b\u4e89\uff1a<\/h2>\n

\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5f71\u54cd\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4e0e\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u4e4b\u4e00\u6d89\u53ca\u6c11\u65cf\u548c\u9886\u571f\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u524d\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6240\u6709\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u4eba\u90fd\u5e94\u5f52\u5c5e\u4e8e\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7248\u56fe\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\u675c\u5170\u7ebf\u4ee5\u4e1c\u7684\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u4eba\u662f\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u56fd\u6c11\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5206\u6b67\u81ea\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5efa\u56fd\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5b58\u5728\u30021947\u5e74\uff0c\u82f1\u5c5e\u5370\u5ea6\u897f\u5317\u8fb9\u5883\u7701\u7684\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u65cf\u9886\u8896\u59cb\u7ec8\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7740\u5f53\u5730\u4e8b\u52a1\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u575a\u51b3\u53cd\u5bf9\u5370\u5df4\u5206\u6cbb\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u7518\u5730\u53cd\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5206\u88c2\u7684\u4e3b\u5f20\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u9886\u8896\u7684\u53cd\u6297\u5f88\u5feb\u88ab\u6b66\u529b\u9547\u538b\uff0c\u4f46\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u6001\u5ea6\u5374\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u30021947\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u9996\u76f8\u7a46\u7f55\u9ed8\u5fb7\u00b7\u54c8\u5e0c\u59c6\u00b7\u6c57\uff08Mohammad Hashim Khan\uff09\u66fe\u516c\u5f00\u5ba3\u79f0\uff1a\u201c\u82e5\u65e0\u6cd5\u5efa\u7acb\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u65af\u5766\uff08Pashtunistan\uff09\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u897f\u5317\u8fb9\u5883\u7701\u5c31\u5e94\u5e76\u5165\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201d\u8fd9\u5e76\u672a\u53d1\u751f\u30021947\u5e748\u6708\u5370\u5df4\u5206\u6cbb\u65f6\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u6295\u7968\u53cd\u5bf9\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u52a0\u5165\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4ee3\u8868\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u7406\u7531\u662f\uff1a\u201c\u5728\u897f\u5317\u8fb9\u5883\u7701\u6c11\u4f17\u83b7\u5f97\u4e0d\u53d7\u4efb\u4f55\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u81ea\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u662f\u5bfb\u6c42\u72ec\u7acb\u8fd8\u662f\u5e76\u5165\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u65e0\u6cd5\u627f\u8ba4\u8be5\u7701\u4e3a\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u9886\u571f\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u201d\u5df4\u53cd\u5bf9\u91cd\u65b0\u5212\u5b9a\u8fb9\u754c\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u62c5\u5fc3\u9677\u5165\u88ab\u5305\u56f4\u7684\u5883\u5730\u3002\u6b63\u59821958\u5e74\u81f31969\u5e74\u638c\u6743\u7684\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5f3a\u6743\u4eba\u7269\u963f\u5c24\u5e03\u00b7\u6c57\uff08Ayub Khan\uff09\u6240\u5766\u8a00\uff0c\u5df4\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u59cb\u7ec8\u575a\u4fe1\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4e0e\u5370\u5ea6\u6b63\u8054\u624b\u56fe\u8c0b\u5305\u56f4\u672c\u56fd\u30021949\u5e74\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6b63\u5f0f\u62d2\u7edd\u627f\u8ba4\u675c\u5170\u7ebf\uff0c\u8fd8\u5c068\u670831\u65e5\u5b9a\u4e3a\u201c\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u65af\u5766\u65e5\u201d\uff08Pachtounistan Day\uff09\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u591a\u5ea7\u57ce\u5e02\u5747\u4e3e\u884c\u4e86\u5e86\u795d\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5386\u7ecf\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u6c89\u5bc2\u4e0e\u505c\u6ede\uff0c\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u57281970\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e8e\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u91cd\u65b0\u62ac\u5934\uff0c1973\u5e74\u81f31978\u5e74\u6267\u653f\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u603b\u7edf\u7a46\u7f55\u9ed8\u5fb7\u00b7\u8fbe\u4e4c\u5fb7\uff08Mohammad Daoud Khan\uff09\u901a\u8fc7\u5ba3\u4f20\u6d3b\u52a8\u518d\u6b21\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3b\u4e49\u9020\u52bf\u3002\u8fbe\u4e4c\u5fb7\u57281953\u5e74\u81f31963\u5e74\u62c5\u4efb\u603b\u7406\u671f\u95f4\u5c31\u66fe\u63a8\u52a8\u8fd9\u4e00\u653f\u6cbb\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u4f46\u540e\u6765\u88ab\u7a46\u7f55\u9ed8\u5fb7\u00b7\u67e5\u5e0c\u5c14\u56fd\u738b\uff08Mohammed Zahir Shah\uff09\u8fb9\u7f18\u5316\u30021973\u5e74\uff0c\u8fbe\u4e4c\u5fb7\u91cd\u8fd4\u653f\u575b\uff0c\u63a8\u7ffb\u56fd\u738b\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u603b\u7edf\u3002\u5728\u5176\u6267\u653f\u521d\u671f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u5e0c\u671b\u6548\u4eff1971\u5e74\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u7684\u5efa\u56fd\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e0e\u6d41\u4ea1\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u7684\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u79d8\u4e66\u957f\u963f\u6770\u9a6c\u52d2\u00b7\u54c8\u5854\u514b\uff08Ajmal Khattak\uff09\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u5efa\u7acb\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u5c3c\u65af\u5766\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u5730\u56fe\u5c06\u5df4\u5883\u5185\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u5730\u533a\u7eb3\u5165\u672c\u56fd\u7248\u56fe\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e09\u3001\u904f\u5236\u9886\u571f\u6536\u590d\u4e3b\u4e49\uff1a<\/h2>\n

\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u4e3b\u4e49\u7b79\u7801\u9762\u5bf9\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u53ca\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u65cf\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u963f\u91cc\u00b7\u5e03\u6258\uff08Zulfikar Ali Bhutto\uff09\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u653f\u5e9c\u8f6c\u800c\u652f\u6301\u4e00\u6279\u5e74\u8f7b\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u6b63\u79ef\u6781\u52a8\u5458\u529b\u91cf\u53cd\u5bf9\u8fbe\u4e4c\u5fb7\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u89c6\u4e3a\u81ea\u8eab\u4fe1\u4ef0\u7684\u6398\u5893\u4eba\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f53\u65f6\u56fe\u8c0b\u5411\u5357\u6269\u5f20\u7684\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u9644\u5eb8\uff08\u6ce8\uff1a\u8fbe\u4e4c\u5fb7\u7684\u4e0a\u53f0\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5f97\u5230\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5de6\u7ffc\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4eb2\u82cf\u6d3e\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5176\u4e0a\u53f0\u540e\u63a8\u52a8\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e16\u4fd7\u5316\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u5f31\u5316\u5b97\u6559\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u4e2d\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\uff09\u3002\u5e03\u6258\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u529b\u91cf\u6709\u671b\u52a8\u6447\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u4e2d\uff0c\u6709\u4e09\u4f4d\u540e\u6765\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u53cd\u82cf\u5723\u6218\u201d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff1a\u5e03\u5c14\u6c49\u52aa\u4e01\u00b7\u62c9\u5df4\u5c3c\uff08Burhanuddin Rabbani\uff09\u3001\u53e4\u52d2\u535c\u4e01\u00b7\u5e0c\u514b\u9a6c\u8482\u4e9a\u5c14\uff08Gulbuddin Hekmatyar\uff09\u548c\u827e\u54c8\u8fc8\u5fb7\u00b7\u6c99\u963f\u00b7\u9a6c\u82cf\u5fb7\uff08Ahmed Shah Massoud\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e09\u4eba\u5f7c\u65f6\u5747\u4e3a\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u751f\uff0c\u4e14\u5747\u201c\u88ab\u9009\u4e2d\u524d\u5f80\u6770\u62c9\u7279\uff08Cherat\uff09\u63a5\u53d7\u7a81\u51fb\u961f\u5458\u8bad\u7ec3\u201d\u2014\u2014\u6770\u62c9\u7279\u57fa\u5730\u662f\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7279\u79cd\u90e8\u961f\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6240\u5728\u5730\uff0c\u4f4d\u4e8e\u767d\u6c99\u74e6\u4e1c\u5357\u7ea650\u516c\u91cc\u5904\u3002\u82cf\u8054\u5165\u4fb5\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u4e3a\u5df4\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u5728\u4e24\u6761\u6218\u7ebf\u540c\u6b65\u63a8\u8fdb\u7684\u5951\u673a\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5e0c\u671b\u4ee5\u634d\u536b\u5b97\u6559\u4e4b\u540d\uff0c\u6d88\u89e3\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57-\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6218\u4e89\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5723\u6218\u8005\u5916\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u8fd8\u4e3a\u6765\u81ea\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u88c5\u5907\u4e0e\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u653f\u7b56\u81ea1983\u5e74\u8d77\u63a8\u884c\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u6c99\u7279\u60c5\u62a5\u90e8\u957f\u56fe\u5c14\u57fa\u00b7\u8d39\u8428\u5c14\u4eb2\u738b\uff08Turki Al Faisal\uff09\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u5173\u952e\u89d2\u8272\uff0c\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u3001\u4e4c\u5179\u522b\u514b\u3001\u5317\u975e\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5404\u7c7b\u6b66\u88c5\u5206\u5b50\u4e5f\u501f\u6b64\u88ab\u62db\u52df\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u610f\u6b32\u6276\u6301\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u5176\u52a9\u529b\u4e0a\u53f0\u7684\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u5c06\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u53d8\u4e3a\u5176\u4fdd\u62a4\u56fd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5728\u5bf9\u5370\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u201c\u6218\u7565\u7eb5\u6df1\u201d\u3002\u81ea1994\u5e74\u8d77\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8003\u91cf\u6307\u5bfc\u4e86\u5df4\u5bf9\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u5f7c\u65f6\u82cf\u8054\u5df2\u64a4\u519b\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5386\u7ecf\u6570\u5e74\u5185\u6218\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u4fe8\u7136\u6210\u4e3a\u6700\u5177\u5b9e\u529b\u7684\u638c\u6743\u89d2\u9010\u8005\u3002\u540c\u5e74\u79cb\uff0c\u8d1d\u5a1c\u9f50\u5c14\u00b7\u5e03\u6258\uff08Benazir Bhutto\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u5f0f\u9009\u62e9\u4e0e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u7ed3\u76df\u3002\u4e0d\u5230\u4e24\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4e09\u519b\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\uff08ISI\uff09\u7684\u534f\u52a9\u4e0b\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u653b\u5360\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u3002\u5df4\u4e5f\u4e0e\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u4e00\u9053\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u4ec5\u6709\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u627f\u8ba4\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u653f\u6743\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u7136\u800c\u4e8b\u4e0e\u613f\u8fdd\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u653f\u5e9c\u4ee5\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u6743\u4e3a\u7531\u62b5\u5236\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6e17\u900f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4efd\u53cd\u6297\u5728\u9886\u571f\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u5c24\u4e3a\u5f3a\u786c\u2014\u2014\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u59cb\u7ec8\u62d2\u7edd\u627f\u8ba4\u675c\u5170\u7ebf\u4e3a\u4e24\u56fd\u6b63\u5f0f\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u8fb9\u754c\u30022000\u81f32001\u5e74\u62c5\u4efb\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u9a7b\u5df4\u5927\u4f7f\u7684\u963f\u535c\u675c\u52d2\u00b7\u8428\u62c9\u59c6\u00b7\u624e\u8036\u592b\uff08Abdul Salam Zaeff\uff09\u5728\u5176\u81ea\u4f20\u4e2d\u62ab\u9732\u4e86\u963f\u5df4\u4e24\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u56e0\u4e3b\u6743\u4e0e\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e4b\u4e89\u9677\u5165\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7d27\u5f20\u3002\u4ed6\u4ee5\u5386\u53f2\u89c6\u89d2\u8bc4\u8bf4\u8fd9\u6bb5\u53cc\u8fb9\u5173\u7cfb\u65f6\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u72fc\u4e0e\u7f8a\u6216\u53ef\u540c\u996e\u4e00\u6eaa\u4e4b\u6c34\uff0c\u4f46\u81ea\u5723\u6218\u4e4b\u521d\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4e09\u519b\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\u4fbf\u5df2\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u624e\u6839\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u5982\u764c\u7ec6\u80de\u4fb5\u5165\u4eba\u4f53\uff1b\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5386\u4efb\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7686\u5bf9\u6b64\u6028\u58f0\u8f7d\u9053\uff0c\u5374\u65e0\u4eba\u80fd\u5c06\u5176\u6839\u9664\u3002\u201d\u8fdb\u516521\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5c40\u9762\u8ba9\u5df4\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4e24\u96be\u3002\u5e87\u62a4\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u4e25\u91cd\u635f\u5bb3\u4e86\u5df4\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n

\u66f4\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u81ea\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6218\u4e89\u4ee5\u6765\u4fbf\u652f\u6301\u5728\u963f\u5883\u5185\u624e\u6839\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5723\u6218\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u6fc0\u70c8\u51b2\u7a81\u30021996 \u5e74\uff0c\u672c\u00b7\u62c9\u767b\uff08Bin Laden\uff09\u5728\u5df4\u4e09\u519b\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\u5b9a\u5c45\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u4f8b\u8bc1\u3002\u65e9\u57281998\u5e74\uff0c\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u88ad\u51fb\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u5185\u7f57\u6bd5\u548c\u8fbe\u7d2f\u65af\u8428\u62c9\u59c6\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4fbf\u5c06\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u652f\u6301\u89c6\u4e3a\u53ef\u618e\u884c\u5f84\u30022001\u5e749\u00b711\u6050\u6016\u88ad\u51fb\u8feb\u4f7f\u5df4\u4f5c\u51fa\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u4ecd\u5728\u5168\u529b\u5e87\u62a4\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u800c\u5e03\u4ec0\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u8981\u6c42\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u534f\u52a9\u7f8e\u519b\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5c55\u5f00\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u6467\u6bc1\u672c\u00b7\u62c9\u767b\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u5e76\u63a8\u7ffb\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u653f\u6743\u30021999\u5e74\u653f\u53d8\u540e\u638c\u6743\u7684\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7a46\u6c99\u62c9\u592b\uff08Pervez Musharraf\uff09\u8bd5\u56fe\u7ef4\u6301\u4e0e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u7ec8\u88ab\u8feb\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u8ba9\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u79fb\u4ea4\u4e86\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u591a\u540d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd8\u5bf9\u90e8\u5206\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6781\u7aef\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5c55\u5f00\u4e86\u6e05\u527f\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u653f\u7b56\u6700\u7ec8\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4ed6\u57282007\u5e74\u4e0b\u4ee4\u7a81\u88ad\u4e86\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u5821\u7684\u7ea2\u8272\u6e05\u771f\u5bfa\uff08Red Mosque\uff09\u2014\u2014\u8be5\u6e05\u771f\u5bfa\u6b63\u662f\u8fd9\u4e00\u6781\u7aef\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u884c\u52a8\u89e6\u53d1\u4e86\u8fde\u9501\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u65cf\u90e8\u843d\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u5373\u5750\u843d\u4e8e\u897f\u5317\u8fb9\u5883\u7701\u5883\u5185\u7684\u201c\u8054\u90a6\u90e8\u843d\u5730\u533a\u201d\uff08FATA\uff09\u7684\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6b66\u88c5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8fc5\u901f\u96c6\u7ed3\uff0c\u6210\u7acb\u4e86\u201c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u8fd0\u52a8\u201d\uff08Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan, TTP\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0\u201c\u5df4\u5854\u201d\uff09\u3002TTP\u6210\u7acb\u4e4b\u521d\u5ba3\u8a93\u6548\u5fe0\u4ecd\u5728\u574e\u5927\u54c8\u9886\u5bfc\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u7684\u5965\u9a6c\u5c14\uff08Mullah Mohammad Omar\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u4f9d\u6258\u5df4\u9886\u571f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u519b\u5c55\u5f00\u6e38\u51fb\u4f5c\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u524d\uff0c2026\u5e742\u670826\u65e5\u81f327\u65e5\uff0c\u83ab\u8fea\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u8fdb\u884c\u6b63\u5f0f\u8bbf\u95ee\uff0c\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e0e\u519b\u8d2d\u534f\u5b9a\u3002\u81f3\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u88ab\u5305\u56f4\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5df2\u7136\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u7f8e\u4ee5\u4e24\u56fd\u8fd8\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5370\u5ea6\u64a4\u51fa\u4f0a\u6717\u6070\u5df4\u54c8\u5c14\u6e2f\u3002\u4f46\u5f53\u524d\u5c40\u52bf\u4e3a\u201c\u6b63\u4e49\u519b\u201d\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\uff0c\u4ffe\u8def\u652f\u4eba\u7684\u9886\u571f\u4e3b\u5f20\u4e0e\u5206\u79bb\u4e3b\u4e49\u7531\u6b64\u5f3a\u5316\uff0c\u6df7\u4e71\u53ef\u80fd\u8513\u5ef6\u81f3\u4f0a\u6717\u4e1c\u90e8\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u592b\u00b7\u96c5\u592b\u96f7\u6d1b\uff08Christophe Jaffrelot\uff09\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u8457\u540d\u5357\u4e9a\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u5df4\u9ece\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u9662\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08CERI-Sciences Po\/CNRS\uff09\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\uff0c\u4f26\u6566\u56fd\u738b\u5b66\u9662\u5370\u5ea6\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u975e\u5e38\u9a7b\u5b66\u8005\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u534f\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u6587\u7f16\u8bd1\u81ea\u300a\u706b\u7ebf\u300b\uff08The Wire\uff092026\u5e743\u670814\u65e5\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u539f\u6807\u9898\u4e3aHow the Iran War Could Reshape Afghanistan-Pakistan Dynamics\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1ahttps:\/\/thewire.in\/world\/how-the-iran-war-could-reshape-afghanistan-pakistan-dynamics<\/a>\u672c\u671f\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u59dc\u5fc3\u5b87\u672c\u671f\u5ba1\u6838\uff1a\u9648\u73cf\u53ef \u6c5f\u6021<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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