{"id":6203,"date":"2026-01-26T22:53:56","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T14:53:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=6203"},"modified":"2026-01-26T22:53:56","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T14:53:56","slug":"%e7%bc%96%e8%af%91-%e6%b3%a8%e6%84%8f%ef%bc%8c%e5%8d%97%e5%8c%97%e5%88%86%e6%ad%a7%e6%81%90%e6%88%90%e5%8d%b0%e5%ba%a6%e6%96%b0%e4%b8%80%e8%bd%ae%e7%9f%9b%e7%9b%be%e7%88%86%e5%8f%91%e7%82%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=6203","title":{"rendered":"\u7f16\u8bd1 | \u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u5357\u5317\u5206\u6b67\u6050\u6210\u5370\u5ea6\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u77db\u76fe\u7206\u53d1\u70b9\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"nyyjtx-imported-article\" style=\"max-width:760px;margin:0 auto;color:#1f2933;font-size:17px;line-height:1.95;letter-spacing:0;\">\n<div class=\"wechat-article-meta\" style=\"margin:0 0 22px;padding:12px 14px;border-left:4px solid #2f5d9f;background:#f6f8fb;color:#53606d;font-size:14px;line-height:1.8;\"><strong>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a<\/strong>\u5362\u514b\u7c73\u59ae<br \/><strong>\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf<br \/><strong>\u539f\u6587\uff1a<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/wRywfTd8E-WCbLFEKUoWmg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\u539f\u6587<\/a><br \/>\u672c\u6587\u51716209\u5b57\u9605\u8bfb\u9884\u8ba116\u5206\u949f<\/div>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u4f5c\u8005 | \u5362\u514b\u7c73\u59ae\uff08Rukmini S\uff09\u7f16\u8bd1 | \u9093\u5f90\u52e4\u4f1f\u7f16\u8bd1\u5ba1\u6838 | \u738b\u6cfd\u5a9b\u672c\u671f\u7f16\u8f91 | \u66f9\u5bc5\u806a\u672c\u671f\u5ba1\u6838 | \u6731\u4f9d\u6797 \u9648\u73cf\u53ef \u7f16\u8005\u6309 \u672c\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u5357\u5317\u5206\u5316\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u5317\u90e8\u5370\u5730\u8bed\u533a\u4eba\u53e3\u5360\u6bd4\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u5357\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u53e3\u5219\u4e0d\u65ad\u840e\u7f29\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u8d22\u653f\u5206\u914d\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u4ee3\u8868\u6743\u7b49\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u7cfb\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u201d\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\uff0c\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u5370\u5ea6\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08CASI\uff09\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u9a7b\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002\u672c\u6587\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u603b\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u5317\u90e8\u5370\u5730\u8bed\u533a\u90a6\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4ecd\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u53d1\u8fbe\u7684\u5357\u5370\u5ea6\u90a6\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u5219\u9677\u5165\u505c\u6ede\u751a\u81f3\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u840e\u7f29\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u90a6\u9645\u4eba\u53e3\u8fc1\u5f99\u7387\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5185\u8fc1\u5f99\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u90a6\u5185\u4e43\u81f3\u672c\u53bf\u5185\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u603b\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u53e3\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u4f7f\u5317\u90e8\u5370\u5730\u8bed\u533a\u90a6\u548c\u5357\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u897f\u5370\u5ea6\u90a6\u4e4b\u95f4\u4eba\u53e3\u5360\u6bd4\u4e4b\u5dee\u4e0d\u65ad\u62c9\u5927\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u590d\u6742\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u8d22\u653f\u518d\u5206\u914d\u3002\u5f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u5357\u5370\u5ea6\u90a6\u8d21\u732e\u7a0e\u6536\u8f83\u591a\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u8d22\u653f\u518d\u5206\u914d\u5360\u6bd4\u5374\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5c11\uff0c\u56e0\u5f53\u524d\u4f53\u5236\u504f\u91cd\u4e8e\u4eba\u53e3\u591a\u4e14\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u66f4\u6ede\u540e\u7684\u90a6\u3002\u4e8c\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u4ee3\u8868\u6743\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u52bf\u529b\u8981\u6c42\u4f9d\u7167\u65b0\u4eba\u53e3\u683c\u5c40\u518d\u5206\u914d\u5370\u5ea6\u8bae\u4f1a\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u524a\u5f31\u5357\u5370\u5ea6\u5404\u90a6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6743\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4f4e\u90a6\u9645\u4eba\u53e3\u8fc1\u79fb\u5bfc\u81f4\u5927\u91cf\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4eba\u53e3\u88ab\u675f\u7f1a\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b20\u53d1\u8fbe\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u5370\u5ea6\u65b0\u5174\u5316\u5de5\u4e1a\u5730\u533a\u53c8\u65e0\u6cd5\u5145\u5206\u4eab\u53d7\u5230\u5317\u90e8\u5370\u5730\u8bed\u533a\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u82e5\u4eba\u53e3\u8de8\u533a\u57df\u6d41\u52a8\u4e0e\u534f\u8c03\u8fdb\u5c55\u8fdf\u8fdf\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u5c42\u9762\u51fa\u73b0\u5236\u5ea6\u6027\u88c2\u75d5\uff0c\u6df1\u523b\u5f71\u54cd\u5176\u73b0\u4ee3\u8fdb\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf\u7279\u7f16\u8bd1\u6b64\u6587\uff0c\u4f9b\u5404\u4f4d\u8bfb\u8005\u6279\u5224\u53c2\u8003\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1aJagran Josh \u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u4eba\u53e3\u6700\u591a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u5c06\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u4ea7\u751f\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u6027\u8f6c\u53d8\u65e0\u8bba\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u8fd8\u662f\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u5f97\u5230\u5145\u5206\u7684\u62a5\u9053\u548c\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u5728\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u201d\uff08Data For India\uff09\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5bc6\u5207\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u5229\u7528\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u5168\u7403\u6570\u636e\u6e90\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e09\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u56fe\u6574\u5408\u6709\u5173\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u7f6e\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u80cc\u666f\u8fdb\u884c\u63a2\u8ba8\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5f97\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u62d3\u5c55\u5b66\u672f\u7814\u7a76\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0e\u653f\u7b56\u8ba8\u8bba\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6c47\u603b\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u63cf\u8ff0\u5f53\u524d\u5f62\u52bf\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u70b9\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd1\u671f\u88ab\u76f8\u5bf9\u672a\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8003\u5bdf\u4e86\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6570\u636e\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\u5370\u5ea6\u65e2\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7279\u4f8b\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5168\u7403\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5ba1\u89c6\u5370\u5ea6\u5404\u90a6\u4e4b\u95f4\u4eba\u53e3\u5dee\u5f02\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5dee\u5f02\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u5f53\u4e0b\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u5f0f\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u56f0\u5883\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u662f\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u5171\u540c\u6311\u6218\u2014\u2014\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u7684\u7ec8\u7ed3\u3001\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u63a8\u8fdb\u3001\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u4ee5\u53ca\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7684\u9634\u5f71\u3002\u800c\u8981\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u89e3\u8bfb\u800c\u643a\u624b\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u51e0\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u5b58\u5728\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u5206\u88c2\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u5370\u5ea6\u9762\u4e34\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u88c2\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u6b64\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u63a2\u8ba8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5206\u6b67\u53ca\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"margin:1.8em 0 .75em;padding-left:12px;border-left:4px solid #2f5d9f;font-size:1.18em;line-height:1.55;font-weight:700;color:#14213d;\">\u4e00\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u5316\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u4e09\u5927\u8fc7\u7a0b\u9a71\u52a8\uff1a\u51fa\u751f\u3001\u6b7b\u4ea1\u548c\u8fc1\u79fb\u3002<\/h2>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u6211\u4eec\u9996\u5148\u8003\u5bdf\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u51b3\u5b9a\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e86\u89e3\u5b83\u4eec\u5bf9\u5370\u5ea6\u5404\u90a6\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u5c55\u671b\u300b\uff082024\u5e74\u4fee\u8ba2\u7248\uff09\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8fc7\u53bb\u5e74\u4efd\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u52302100\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6837\u672c\u767b\u8bb0\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08Sample Registration System\uff09\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bb6\u5ead\u5065\u5eb7\u8c03\u67e5\uff08National Family Health Survey\uff09\u4e2d\u5404\u90a6\u622a\u81f32023\u5e74\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff08\u8fd9\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u5e74\u4efd\u6570\u636e\uff09\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e2023\u5e74\u4ee5\u540e\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5370\u5ea6\u5404\u90a6\u622a\u81f32036\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u91c7\u7528\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u57fa\u4e8e2011\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u9700\u8981\u7279\u522b\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u81ea2011\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u5c1a\u672a\u8fdb\u884c\u8fc7\u5341\u5e74\u4e00\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u3002\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u5357\u5317\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5dee\u5f02\u4f46\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u7b2c\u4e8c\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\u6240\u770b\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u751f\u80b2\u7387\uff08\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5987\u5973\u7684\u5b50\u5973\u6570\u91cf\uff09\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u5448\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u8f83\u5bcc\u88d5\u90a6\u548c\u8f83\u8d2b\u7a77\u90a6\u4e4b\u95f4\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u7387\u6b63\u662f\u9020\u6210\u8fd9\u4e00\u5206\u88c2\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6240\u5728\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5357\u90e8\u548c\u897f\u90e8\u5404\u90a6\u8f83\u4e3a\u5bcc\u88d5\uff0c\u5728\u5987\u5973\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u5987\u5973\u5065\u5eb7\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u679c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90a6\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8f83\u4e3a\u8d2b\u56f0\u548c\u6b20\u53d1\u8fbe\u7684\u4e1c\u90e8\u548c\u5317\u90e8\u5404\u90a6\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u66f4\u65e9\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u201c\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u201d\uff08replacement fertility\uff0c\u662f\u6307\u4e00\u4ee3\u5987\u5973\u751f\u80b2\u7684\u5973\u5a74\u6570\u91cf\u521a\u597d\u80fd\u591f\u66ff\u4ee3\u5979\u4eec\u6bcd\u4eb2\u4e00\u4ee3\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f7f\u4eba\u53e3\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u8282\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u603b\u548c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\uff08Total Fertility Rate \uff0cTFR\uff09\u662f\u6307\u4e00\u540d\u5973\u6027\u4e00\u751f\u4e2d\u5e73\u5747\u53ef\u80fd\u751f\u80b2\u7684\u5b50\u5973\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u968f\u7740\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u5bcc\u88d5\uff0c\u5973\u6027\u83b7\u5f97\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u548c\u6559\u80b2\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u5747\u6709\u4f53\u73b0\u3002\u5f53\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u603b\u548c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u964d\u81f32.1\u65f6\uff0c\u5373\u5973\u6027\u4e00\u751f\u5e73\u5747\u751f\u80b22.1\u4e2a\u5b69\u5b50\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u79f0\u8be5\u56fd\u5df2\u8fbe\u5230\u751f\u80b2\u7684\u201c\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e24\u4e2a\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u5171\u751f\u80b22.1\u4e2a\u5b69\u5b50\uff08\u6309\u7406\u8bba\u8ba1\u7b97\uff09\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u513f\u7ae5\u6216\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u65f6\u671f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u592b\u5987\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u751f\u80b2\u4e24\u4e2a\u6210\u5e74\u4e2a\u4f53\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4eba\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u8be5\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u53d1\u5c55\u5386\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u91cc\u7a0b\u8282\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u5982\u679c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7edd\u5bf9\u6570\u91cf\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5370\u5ea6\u5404\u90a6\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5747\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u8f68\u8ff9\u5374\u76f8\u5dee\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u5728\u5c1a\u672a\u89e6\u53ca\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u56db\u4e2a\u90a6\u4e2d\uff0c\u5747\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u8d2b\u56f0\u7684\u4e2d\u90e8\u548c\u5317\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u5317\u65b9\u90a6\u5c06\u4e8e2025\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u90a6\u5219\u5c06\u4e8e2028\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u3002\u6bd4\u54c8\u5c14\u90a6\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u5c1a\u672a\u89e6\u53ca\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u90a6\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u8981\u52302039\u5e74\u624d\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002\uff08\u622a\u81f32023\u5e74\uff0c\u5373\u6709\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u67e5\u7684\u6700\u8fd1\u5e74\u4efd\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9884\u6d4b\u6070\u8482\u65af\u52a0\u5c14\u90a6\u5c06\u57282022\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u90a6\u5c1a\u672a\u89e6\u53ca\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\uff09 \u5370\u5ea6\u5404\u90a6\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\uff081971-2023\uff09\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u201d\u7f51\u7ad9\u8fd9\u79cd\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5dee\u5f02\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u5317\u90e8\u548c\u4e1c\u90e8\u5404\u90a6\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u4f4d\u4e8e\u9ad8\u4f4d\u591a\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u5370\u5ea6\u6bcf\u4e09\u4e2a14\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0b\u513f\u7ae5\u4e2d\u5c31\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u6bd4\u54c8\u5c14\u90a6\u548c\u5317\u65b9\u90a6\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6700\u8fdc\u5e74\u4efd2036\u5e74\uff0c\u6bd4\u54c8\u5c14\u90a6\u7684\u513f\u7ae5\u4eba\u53e3\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u7edd\u5bf9\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u6240\u6709\u5357\u90e8\u5404\u90a6\u7684\u513f\u7ae5\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u90fd\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u5f02\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90a6\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6b63\u65e5\u76ca\u6210\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u8f83\u5bcc\u88d5\u90a6\u548c\u8f83\u8d2b\u7a77\u90a6\u4e4b\u95f4\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u957f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5370\u5ea6\u8f83\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u90a6\u5728\u5065\u5eb7\u6307\u6807\u4e0a\u6bd4\u8f83\u8d2b\u7a77\u7684\u90a6\u8868\u73b0\u66f4\u597d\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u5e74\u9f84\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90a6\u4e0d\u4ec5\u9762\u4e34\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u7387\uff0c\u8fd8\u9762\u4e34\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u3002\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u5206\u5a29\u671f\u548c\u5a74\u513f\u671f\u7684\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u53ca\u75be\u75c5\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u5728\u8f83\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u90a6\u8fdc\u5c11\u4e8e\u8f83\u8d2b\u56f0\u7684\u90a6\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5580\u62c9\u62c9\u90a6\u7684\u5a74\u513f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\uff08IMR\uff09\u5df2\u964d\u81f3\u5343\u5206\u4e4b\u4e94\uff08\u6bcf\u5e74\u6bcf1000 \u540d\u6d3b\u4ea7\u5a74\u513f\u4e2d\u67095\u540d\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff09\uff0c\u4e0e\u5317\u6b27\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u5f53\u3002\u800c\u76f8\u5bf9\u8d2b\u56f0\u7684\u5317\u65b9\u90a6\u3001\u4e2d\u592e\u90a6\u548c\u6070\u8482\u65af\u52a0\u5c14\u90a6\u7684\u5a74\u513f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5219\u9ad8\u8fbe\u5343\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u5341\u4e03\uff0c\u4e0e\u82cf\u4e39\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u76f8\u8fd1\u3002\u8f83\u8d2b\u56f0\u90a6\u4eba\u53e3\u4e2d\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u603b\u4f53\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e5f\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u8f83\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u5580\u62c9\u62c9\u90a6\u7684\u7c97\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\uff08Crude Death Rate\uff0c\u4e5f\u79f0\u603b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\uff0c\u5373\u6bcf\u5343\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\uff09\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e2d\u592e\u90a6\u3002\u9020\u6210\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5580\u62c9\u62c9\u90a6\u4eba\u53e3\u4e2d\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u9ad8\u30022023\u5e74\u5370\u5ea6\u6574\u4f53\u53ca\u5404\u90a6\u4e0d\u540c\u5e74\u9f84\u7ec4\u6bcf\u5343\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u201d\u7f51\u7ad9\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u7387\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5370\u5ea6\u8f83\u53d1\u8fbe\u90a6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0d\u65ad\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u4f4e\u90a6\u9645\u79fb\u6c11\u7387\u9664\u4e86\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u6d41\u52a8\u4e5f\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u5728\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u7684\u79fb\u6c11\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u62b5\u6d88\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u7167\u62a4\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff09\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u4ece\u76f8\u5bf9\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u79fb\u6c11\u6d41\u5165\u548c\u6d41\u51fa\u89c4\u6a21\u592a\u5c0f\uff0c\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5bf9\u4eba\u53e3\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u636e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u622a\u81f32023\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u6bcf1000\u4eba\u4e2d\u53ea\u6709\u4e0d\u52301\u4eba\u79fb\u5c45\u56fd\u5916\uff0c\u800c\u90bb\u56fd\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5219\u8d85\u8fc73\u4eba\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u8fc1\u79fb\u89c4\u6a21\u8981\u5927\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u5341\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c45\u4f4f\u5730\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u4e14\u8fde\u7eed\u5c45\u4f4f\u65f6\u95f4\u81f3\u5c11\u4e3a\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 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India\uff09\u7f51\u7ad9\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\uff0c\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u5370\u5ea6\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08CASI\uff09\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u9a7b\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002\u5979\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u5305\u62ec\u4eba\u53e3\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u672c\u6587\u7f16\u8bd1\u81ea\u5370\u5ea6\u300a\u5377\u8f74\u62a5\u300b2025\u5e7412\u670829\u65e5\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u539f\u6807\u9898\u4e3aAgeing south, populous north and a migration puzzle along India\u2019s fertility faultline\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/scroll.in\/article\/1088941\/ageing-south-populous-north-and-a-migration-puzzle-along-indias-fertility-faultline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/scroll.in\/article\/1088941\/ageing-south-populous-north-and-a-migration-puzzle-along-indias-fertility-faultline<\/a>\u672c\u671f\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u66f9\u5bc5\u806a\u672c\u671f\u5ba1\u6838\uff1a\u6731\u4f9d\u6797 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