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\n

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\n

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\n

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\n

\u5b5f\u56fd\u5185\u5b97\u6559\u66b4\u529b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6fc0\u589e\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u7f51\u7edc<\/p>\n

\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u5b66\u4eba\u300b9\u670818\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5b5f\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u5c40\u52bf\u6b63\u6301\u7eed\u52a0\u5267\u4f20\u7edf\u6559\u6d3e\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5b5f\u5b97\u6559\u66b4\u529b\u6fc0\u589e\u3001\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u5185\u8ba7\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u636e\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u4ec5\u5728\u54c8\u897f\u5a1c\u653f\u5e9c\u5012\u53f0\u540e\u7684\u4e94\u4e2a\u534a\u6708\u5185\uff0c\u5b5f40\u5904\u5b97\u6559\u5723\u5730\u53d1\u751f\u81f3\u5c1144\u8d77\u88ad\u51fb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u5b5f\u5b97\u6559\u66b4\u529b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u751f\u30029\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u56e0\u5730\u65b9\u5b97\u6559\u9886\u8896\u5893\u7a74\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e89\u8bae\uff0c\u6570\u767e\u4eba\u7834\u574f\u9675\u5bdd\u3001\u6316\u51fa\u5176\u9057\u4f53\u5e76\u711a\u70e7\uff0c\u9020\u62101\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u300120\u4f59\u4eba\u53d7\u4f24\u3002\u6b21\u65e5\uff0c\u5409\u5927\u6e2f\u7206\u53d1\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u6559\u6d3e\u5185\u6597\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6570\u767e\u4eba\u53d7\u4f24\uff0c\u519b\u961f\u968f\u540e\u4ecb\u5165\u9547\u538b\u3002\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u5b5f\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u5206\u88c2\u4e0e\u66b4\u529b\u5347\u7ea7\u53d7\u591a\u91cd\u56e0\u7d20\u53e0\u52a0\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u662f\u5b5f\u56fd\u5185\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u7fa4\u4f53\u6d41\u6d3e\u4f17\u591a\uff0c\u610f\u8bc6\u5206\u6b67\u96be\u4ee5\u51dd\u805a\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u5361\u74e6\u7c73\u6d3e\uff08Qawwmi\uff09\u5927\u591a\u4ee5\u5b97\u6559\u5b66\u6821\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6d3b\u52a8\uff1b\u900a\u5c3c\u6d3e\u6216\u5df4\u96f7\u5c14\u7ef4\u6d3e\uff08Barelvi\uff09\u4fe1\u5f92\u66f4\u5f3a\u8c03\u82cf\u83f2\u6d3e\u4eea\u5f0f\uff1b\u5fb7\u5965\u73ed\u8fea\uff08Deobandi\uff09\u590d\u5174\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u5219\u4e3b\u5f20\u4ee5\u66f4\u52a0\u539f\u6559\u65e8\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u89e3\u8bfb\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6559\u3002\u4e8c\u662f\u5b97\u6559\u653f\u6cbb\u5316\u52a0\u5267\u4e0d\u540c\u6d41\u6d3e\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u7834\u574f\u5b5f\u5b97\u6559\u5bbd\u5bb9\u6c1b\u56f4\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5b97\u6559\u653f\u6cbb\u56e2\u4f53\u5f80\u5f80\u58f0\u79f0\u81ea\u8eab\u4ee3\u8868\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u201c\u771f\u6b63\u201d\u6216\u201c\u7eaf\u7cb9\u201d\u7684\u5185\u6db5\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5c06\u8ffd\u968f\u8005\u4e0e\u6f5c\u5728\u654c\u5bf9\u56e2\u4f53\u7684\u5bf9\u6297\u5408\u6cd5\u5316\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u5927\u4f1a\u515a\uff08JI\uff09\u7b49\u53f3\u7ffc\u52bf\u529b\u5d1b\u8d77\u5f15\u53d1\u4f20\u7edf\u6d3e\u522b\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u5185\u90e8\u5206\u5316\u4e0e\u6fc0\u8fdb\u56de\u5e94\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e09\u662f\u5b5f\u957f\u671f\u653f\u6cbb\u53d8\u9769\u81f4\u56fd\u5185\u6267\u6cd5\u4e0d\u529b\uff0c\u96be\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u7ba1\u63a7\u66b4\u529b\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u56db\u662f\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u5e73\u53f0\u52a0\u901f\u8c23\u8a00\u4f20\u64ad\u4e0e\u52a8\u5458\uff0c\u7ebf\u4e0a\u5206\u6b67\u6613\u8fc5\u901f\u6f14\u53d8\u4e3a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u4e94\u662f\u9752\u5e74\u5931\u4e1a\u7b49\u793e\u4f1a\u95ee\u9898\u4f7f\u90e8\u5206\u5e74\u8f7b\u7537\u6027\u66f4\u5177\u66b4\u529b\u503e\u5411\u3001\u66f4\u6613\u88ab\u717d\u52a8\u3002\u516d\u662f\u5b66\u751f\u8d77\u4e49\u5728\u5ba2\u89c2\u4e0a\u62c9\u9ad8\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u201c\u66b4\u6c11\u6b63\u4e49\u201d\u7684\u5bb9\u5fcd\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u66b4\u529b\u51b2\u7a81\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5229\u76ca\u8868\u8fbe\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\u66f4\u6613\u88ab\u793e\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u666e\u4eac\u89c6\u5bdf\u201cZapad-2025\u201d\u4fc4\u767d\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u534a\u5c9b\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u534a\u5c9b\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u3001\u300a\u5370\u5237\u62a5\u300b9\u670816\u65e5\u300119\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5370\u516c\u5f00\u56de\u5e94\u6b27\u76df\u6709\u5173\u201c\u5370\u53c2\u52a0\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u2014\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u6f14\u201d\u7684\u6307\u8d23\uff0c\u79f0\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u3001\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7b49\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u540c\u6837\u53c2\u4e0e\u5176\u4e2d\u3002\u636e\u5370\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u53709\u670810\u65e5\u81f316\u65e5\u6d3e\u906357\u540d\u9646\u519b\u4eba\u5458\u30017\u540d\u7a7a\u519b\u4eba\u5458\u548c1\u540d\u6d77\u519b\u4eba\u5458\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u7279\u9063\u961f\u8d74\u767d\u4fc4\u53c2\u52a0\u201c\u897f\u90e8-2025\u201d\uff08Zapad-2025\uff09\u591a\u8fb9\u8054\u5408\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\u3002\u6b64\u6b21\u519b\u6f14\u5305\u542b\u591a\u9879\u6218\u672f\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u6f14\u7ec3\uff0c\u6a21\u62df\u64cd\u4f5c\u4fc4\u4e4c\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5bf9\u4e4c\u53d1\u5c04\u7684\u201c\u5965\u5217\u4ec0\u5c3c\u514b\u201d\u9ad8\u8d85\u97f3\u901f\u5f39\u9053\u5bfc\u5f39\uff08Oreshnik ballistic missile\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6b64\u8054\u6f14\u6216\u662f\u4fc4\u767d\u4e24\u56fd\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u8fd1\u671f\u53cd\u4fc4\u4e3b\u5f20\u7684\u56de\u5e94\u4e0e\u201c\u9707\u6151\u201d\u30029\u670819\u65e5\uff0c\u524d\u7231\u6c99\u5c3c\u4e9a\u603b\u7406\u3001\u73b0\u4efb\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5361\u5a05\u00b7\u5361\u62c9\u65af\uff08Kaja Kallas\uff09\u516c\u5f00\u6279\u8bc4\u79f0\uff0c\u5370\u53c2\u52a0\u519b\u6f14\u3001\u8d2d\u4e70\u4fc4\u6cb9\u7b49\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5747\u5c06\u963b\u788d\u5370\u6b27\u5728\u5404\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6df1\u5316\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u5370\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u3001\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7b49\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u5747\u4ee5\u89c2\u5bdf\u5458\u8eab\u4efd\u53c2\u6f14\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u65b9\u8bc1\u5b9e\u5176\u519b\u5b98\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u767d\u4fc4\u65b9\u9762\u9080\u8bf7\u540e\u9996\u6b21\u89c2\u6469\u4e86\u519b\u6f14\u90e8\u5206\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u6b64\u4e3e\u6216\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u5bfb\u6c42\u6539\u5584\u4e0e\u767d\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u5c1d\u8bd5\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u5357\u534e\u65e9\u62a5\u300b\u201c\u6218\u4e89\u56f0\u5883\u201d\uff08War on the Rocks\uff09\u7f51\u7ad99\u670819\u65e5\u53d1\u8868\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u4e2d\u5370\u5173\u7cfb\u8d70\u8fd1\u5b58\u5728\u9650\u5ea6\u300b\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u9057\u7559\u95ee\u9898\u3001\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6469\u64e6\u6df1\u523b\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u5370\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u53cc\u65b9\u5448\u73b0\u7684\u201c\u7f13\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u201d\u66f4\u591a\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8c61\u5f81\u6027\u59ff\u6001\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u535a\u5c14\u5fb7\u91cc\u5c3c\uff08Chiara Boldrini\uff09\u7cfb\u535a\u6d1b\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u7814\u7a76\u751f\uff0c\u66fe\u4efb\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u201c\u5bcc\u5e03\u8d56\u7279\u201d\u8bbf\u95ee\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3001\u5370\u667a\u5e93\u201c\u6218\u7565\u548c\u9632\u52a1\u7814\u7a76\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08CSDR\uff09\u201d\u8bbf\u95ee\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002\u4e2d\u5370\u5173\u7cfb\u5448\u73b0\u590d\u6742\u800c\u5fae\u5999\u7684\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u8fb9\u754c\u4e89\u7aef\u3001\u6218\u7565\u7ade\u4e89\u662f\u53cc\u65b9\u65e0\u6cd5\u56de\u907f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u77db\u76fe\u3002<\/p>\n

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