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\u56fe\u6e90\uff1astatista.com<\/p>\n

\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b7\u67086\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5370\u7535\u5b50\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u9762\u4e34\u9ec4\u91d1\u5316\u5408\u7269\u4e0e\u7a00\u571f\u8fdb\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u53cc\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u6050\u81f4\u5370\u672c\u571f\u751f\u4ea7\u7ebf\u4e2d\u65ad\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u6682\u7f13\uff0c\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u4e1a\u672c\u571f\u5316\u52aa\u529b\u6216\u963b\u788d\u91cd\u91cd\u3002\u4e9a\u91d1\u6c30\u5316\u94be\u7b49\u9ec4\u91d1\u5316\u5408\u7269\u5bfc\u7535\u6027\u5353\u8d8a\uff0c\u662f\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u3001\u5370\u5237\u7535\u8def\u677f\u3001\u8fde\u63a5\u5668\u7b49\u9ad8\u7aef\u7535\u5b50\u5143\u4ef6\u5236\u9020\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6750\u6599\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5370\u5916\u8d38\u603b\u5c40\uff08DGFT\uff096\u670817\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u516c\u544a\uff0c\u5c06\u6b64\u7c7b\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ece\u201c\u81ea\u7531\u8fdb\u53e3\u201d\u7c7b\u522b\u8c03\u6574\u4e3a\u201c\u9650\u5236\u8fdb\u53e3\u201d\u7c7b\u522b\u3002\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u9ec4\u91d1\u5316\u5408\u7269\u906d\u5370\u6d77\u5173\u6263\u7559\uff0c\u5370\u672c\u571f\u7535\u5b50\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u7ebf\u9762\u4e34\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u5ef6\u8bef\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5370\u624b\u673a\u4e0e\u7535\u5b50\u534f\u4f1a\uff08ICEA\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u653f\u7b56\u7a81\u53d8\u6216\u81f4\u5370\u7535\u5b50\u884c\u4e1a\u6269\u4ea7\u8ba1\u5212\u4ea7\u751f\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u963b\u788d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6295\u8d44\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7a00\u571f\u51fa\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u5df2\u5371\u53ca\u5370\u6c7d\u8f66\u5bb6\u7535\u3001\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u5bfc\u5f39\u6280\u672f\u7b49\u591a\u9886\u57df\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ec5\u8bfa\u4f0a\u8fbe\u548c\u5357\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u97f3\u9891\u7535\u5b50\u9886\u57df\u5c31\u6709\u8d852.1\u4e07\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u9762\u4e34\u88c1\u5458\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5370\u667a\u5e93\u201c\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u7814\u7a76\u5021\u8bae\u7ec4\u7ec7\u201d\uff08GTRI\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u73b0\u5df2\u6269\u5c55\u81f3\u9553\u3001\u9517\u3001\u77f3\u58a8\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\uff0c\u66b4\u9732\u5370\u6df1\u5c42\u6b21\u6218\u7565\u5f31\u70b9\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0cGTRI\u6566\u4fc3\u5370\u653f\u5e9c\u8fc5\u901f\u542f\u52a8\u9006\u5411\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e3e\u63aa\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u672c\u571f\u5de5\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u534e\u8fdb\u53e3\u4f9d\u8d56\u30022024-25\u8d22\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5bf9\u534e\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u5df2\u589e\u81f31000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08$100 billion\uff09\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u7b14\u8bb0\u672c\u7535\u8111\u3001\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u7535\u6c60\u677f\u3001\u6297\u751f\u7d20\u3001\u9502\u79bb\u5b50\u7535\u6c60\u9886\u57df80%\u4f9d\u8d56\u81ea\u534e\u8fdb\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u56fe\u6e90\uff1aPwC.com\u5370<\/p>\n

\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65f6\u62a5\u300b7\u67086\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u666e\u534e\u6c38\u9053\u5370\u5ea6\u516c\u53f8\u53d1\u5e03\u300a\u9a7e\u9a6d\u4ef7\u503c\u8f6c\u79fb\u300b(Navigating the Value Shift)\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u7a81\u7834\u4f20\u7edf\u884c\u4e1a\u6a21\u5f0f\u3001\u6ee1\u8db3\u57fa\u7840\u6c11\u751f\u4e0e\u4ea7\u4e1a\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5370\u4f01\u6709\u671b\u57282035\u5e74\u524d\u6d89\u8db39\u4e2a\u589e\u957f\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u521b\u90209.82\u4e07\u4ebf\uff08$9.82 trillion\uff09\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u9884\u6d4b\u79f0\uff0c\u5370\u603b\u589e\u52a0\u503c\uff08GVA\uff09\u5c06\u4ece2023\u5e74\u76843.39\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08$ 3.39 trillion\uff09\u589e\u957f\u81f32035\u5e74\u76849.82\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff089.82 trillion\uff09\uff0c\u5e74\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\u8fbe9.27%\u3002<\/p>\n

GVA\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5546\u54c1\u670d\u52a1\u4ea7\u503c\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u7ecf\u7a0e\u6536\u548c\u8865\u8d34\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u4f30\u7b97GDP\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u5f15\u5165\u4ee5\u201c\u9700\u6c42\u57df\u201d\u4e3a\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u65b0\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5373\u56f4\u7ed5\u4eba\u7c7b\u57fa\u672c\u9700\u6c42\u9886\u57df\uff08\u5982\u5c45\u4f4f\u3001\u51fa\u884c\u3001\u533b\u7597\u3001\u5efa\u9020\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u5e94\u7b49\uff09\u91cd\u6784\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u53d8\u9769\u3001\u6280\u672f\u98a0\u8986\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u5404\u9886\u57df\u805a\u5408\u591a\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5e76\u4fc3\u8fdb\u8de8\u90e8\u95e8\u534f\u4f5c\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u5370\u653f\u5e9c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u91cd\u89c6\u5370\u6570\u5b57\u521b\u65b0\u3001\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u3001\u5148\u8fdb\u5236\u9020\uff0c\u5370\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u589e\u52a0\u503c\uff08GVA\uff09\u9884\u8ba1\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\uff0c\u6216\u4ece2023\u5e74\u76849450\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08$945 billion\uff09\u589e\u81f32035\u5e74\u76842.7\u4e07\u4ebf\uff08$2.7 trillion\uff09\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u53d7\u667a\u80fd\u5efa\u7b51\u3001\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6750\u6599\u3001\u6570\u636e\u9a71\u52a8\u7ba1\u7406\u5de5\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5370\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u548c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5efa\u8bbe\u9886\u57df\u6709\u671b\u5b9e\u73b0\u7531\u4f20\u7edf\u5411\u667a\u80fd\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u8f6c\u578b\u3002\u666e\u534e\u6c38\u9053\u5370\u5ea6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c40%\u7684\u5370\u4f01\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e94\u5e74\u81f3\u5c11\u62d3\u5c55\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u884c\u4e1a\u4e1a\u52a1\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u534a\u6570\u4f01\u4e1a\u65b0\u4e1a\u52a1\u8d21\u732e\u8fd120%\u8425\u6536\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u82e5\u8981\u6301\u7eed\u91ca\u653e\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u5370\u4f01\u9700\u91c7\u7528\u7a81\u7834\u884c\u4e1a\u5c40\u9650\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u57df\u89c6\u89d2\u6765\u91cd\u6784\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u5f00\u5c55\u751f\u6001\u534f\u4f5c\u5e76\u5efa\u7acb\u9762\u5411\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ee5\u6210\u529f\u5b9e\u73b0\u5370\u653f\u5e9c\u201c2047\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u8fbe30\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08$30 trillion\uff09\u201d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u56fe\u6e90\uff1aPTI\u5370\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u6559\u5f92\u62a5\u300b7\u67085\u65e5\u30016\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6bd4\u54c8\u5c14\u90a6\u201c\u9009\u6c11\u540d\u518c\u2018\u7279\u522b\u5f3a\u5316\u4fee\u8ba2\u2019\u201d\uff08SIR\uff09\u8fdb\u7a0b\u5f15\u53d1\u5916\u754c\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5370\u4eba\u515a\u84c4\u610f\u5229\u7528\u6267\u653f\u4f18\u52bf\u5730\u4f4d\u4fb5\u72af\u516c\u6c11\u57fa\u672c\u6743\u5229\u3002\u56fd\u5927\u515a\u7b49\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53cd\u5bf9\u610f\u89c1\u6709\u4e8c\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u6570\u636e\u7edf\u8ba1\u65f6\u95f4\u8fc7\u77ed\u3002\u6839\u636e\u9009\u4e3e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u5e94\u57287\u670825\u65e5\u524d\u63d0\u4ea4SIR\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6240\u9700\u768411\u4efd\u76f8\u5173\u6587\u4ef6\u3002\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u622a\u81f37\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u4ec5\u6536\u523014.18%\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u6750\u6599\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7684\u65f6\u9650\u8fc7\u77ed\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6309\u65f6\u5b8c\u6210\u76f8\u5173\u5de5\u4f5c\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u9009\u4e3e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7acb\u573a\u503e\u5411\u5370\u4eba\u515a\u3002<\/p>\n

7\u67086\u65e5\uff0c\u6bd4\u54c8\u5c14\u90a6\u9996\u5e2d\u9009\u4e3e\u5b98\u516c\u5f00\u8868\u793a\u201c\u5373\u4f7f\u6ca1\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u8bc1\u660e\u6587\u4ef6\u4e5f\u8981\u586b\u5199\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u8868\u683c\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u9009\u4e3e\u767b\u8bb0\u5b98\u6709\u6743\u6839\u636e\u5f53\u5730\u8c03\u67e5\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u6587\u4ef6\u8bc1\u636e\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u5b9a\u201d\u3002\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u8d28\u7591\u79f0\uff0c\u9009\u4e3e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u53cd\u5e38\u8868\u6001\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u6765\u81ea\u5370\u4eba\u515a\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u538b\u529b\u548c\u5e72\u6d89\u3002\u5728\u5916\u90e8\u53cd\u5bf9\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u9009\u4e3e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5df2\u5141\u8bb8\u9002\u5f53\u5ef6\u957fSIR\u622a\u6b62\u65e5\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u575a\u79f0SIR\u201c\u6b63\u5728\u57fa\u5c42\u987a\u5229\u65bd\u884c\u201d\u3002\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5370\u4eba\u515a\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u5728\u201c\u516c\u6c11\u6743\u5229\u201d\u201c\u516c\u6c11\u8eab\u4efd\u201d\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u64cd\u5f04\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5404\u653f\u515a\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7fa4\u4f53\u5728\u76f8\u5173\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5bf9\u5370\u4eba\u515a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4fe1\u4efb\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u672c\u8f6e\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u6ce2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u4ece\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u770b\uff0c\u5728\u300a\u9009\u4e3e\u6cd5\u300b\u3001\u9009\u4e3e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4e0e\u80cc\u4e66\u4e0b\uff0c\u672c\u8f6e\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u6ce2\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u4e0a\u8ff0\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u653f\u6cbb\u52a8\u8361\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c<\/p>\n

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