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1.05em;\">\u5176\u4e00\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u4f18\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u3002\u5728\u5916\u8d38\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4ece20\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4f18\u5148\u5f00\u653e\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u8fc5\u901f\u30022001\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u6392\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7b2c19\u4f4d\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u6392\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7b2c23\u4f4d\uff1b\u52302020\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u5df2\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u7b2c10\u4f4d\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u7b2c7\u4f4d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u5370\u5ea6\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u9664\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u5916\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u6392\u540d\u8fdb\u5165\u5168\u7403\u524d\u5341\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4f46\u6db5\u76d6\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u5374\u4e0d\u5982\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u5f3a\u52b2\u30022001\u5e74\u5370\u5ea6\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u5168\u7403\u6392\u540d25\u4f4d\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u6392\u572831\u4f4d\uff1b\u52302020\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6392\u540d14\u4f4d\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u4ec5\u6392\u572821\u4f4d\uff0c\u6392\u540d\u76f8\u5bf9\u9760\u540e\uff0c\u76f8\u8f83\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u663e\u7136\u66f4\u4f18\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u5728\u5916\u8d44\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u81ea\u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e\u540e\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u4f4e\u5bf9\u5916\u8d44\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u5916\u8d44\u6301\u80a1\u5141\u8bb8\u7a81\u783450%\uff0c\u5438\u7eb3\u5916\u8d44\u6570\u91cf\u660e\u663e\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u5916\u8d44\u6d41\u5165\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5411\u4f18\u52bf\u4ea7\u4e1a\u96c6\u4e2d\u3002\u4ece1987-2020\u5e74\u5370\u5ea6\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1aFDI\u7684\u5b58\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u60c5\u51b5\u6765\u770b\uff08\u56fe1\uff09\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u59cb\u7ec8\u662fFDI\u6d41\u5165\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5438\u7eb3\u7684FDI\u867d\u7136\u4e0d\u53ca\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u5728\u9010\u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u5370\u5ea6\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5438\u7eb3\u7684FDI\u76f8\u8f83\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u548c\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u660e\u663e\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4e14\u589e\u957f\u5e45\u5ea6\u6781\u5c0f\u3002\u5c06\u5916\u8d44\u548c\u5916\u8d38\u7ed3\u5408\u53ef\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5370\u5ea6\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u603b\u4f53\u4f18\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u7279\u5f81\u4e0e\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ee5\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u5927\u591a\u6570\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u4f18\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u201d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u9887\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u56fe1 \u5370\u5ea61987-2020\u5e74\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1aFDI\u5b58\u91cf\u3002\u6ce8\uff1a\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u300aWorld Investment Directory\uff0cVolume VII-Part 1\uff1aAsia and the Pacific\u300b\u3001\u300aStatistical Poeket Book India\u300b\u5386\u5e74\u7248\u672c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5370\u5ea6\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u5185\u90e8\u8d38\u6613\u4fc3\u8fdb\u90e8\uff08DPITT\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5386\u5e74\u201cFDI Newsletter\u201d\u6570\u636e\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u914d\u56fe\u5176\u4e8c\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u5370\u5ea6\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u5f00\u653e\u8fdb\u7a0b\u5747\u5728\u51cf\u901f\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u7ade\u4e89\u4f18\u52bf\u9762\u4e34\u6311\u6218\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7387\u81ea2004\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u5df2\u5448\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u964d\u6001\u52bf\uff08\u56fe2\uff09\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u603b\u989d\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e5f\u5728\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e0b\u964d\uff08\u56fe3\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u81ea20\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u671f\u5bf9\u5916\u8d44\u653e\u677e\u9650\u5236\u540e\u52302008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u5b58\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5448\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f462008\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u52302020\u5e74\uff0c\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u5916\u56fd\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u5b58\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u5e45\u5ea6\u5747\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\uff08\u56fe4\uff09\u3002\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8bf4\u660e\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u5370\u5ea6\u5916\u8d44\u6d41\u5165\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6027\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u76ee\u524d\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u76db\u884c\u3001\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4ee5\u53ca\u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u6c11\u610f\u5bf9\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u53ef\u80fd\u51b2\u51fb\u519c\u4e1a\u3001\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7684\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u60c5\u51b5\u5df2\u4e0d\u5982\u4ece\u524d\u8868\u73b0\u5f97\u90a3\u4e48\u6210\u679c\u663e\u8457\u3002\u56fe2 \u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7387\u3002\u6ce8\uff1a\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eInternational Trade Statistics\uff082001-2020\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u914d\u56fe\u56fe3 \u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7387\u3002\u6ce8\uff1a\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eUN Comtrade\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u914d\u56fe\u56fe4 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1.05em;\">1988\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u4e3b\u8981\u4ee5\u52b3\u52a8\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u521d\u7ea7\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u800c2020\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4ea7\u54c1\u5206\u7c7b\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u51fa\u53e3\u4e2d\u8d44\u672c\u548c\u6280\u672f\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ee5\u53ca\u52b3\u52a8\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u5360\u6bd4\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e2d\u5219\u4ee5\u521d\u7ea7\u4ea7\u54c1\u548c\u8d44\u672c\u6280\u672f\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u5c061988\u5e74\u548c2020\u5e74\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u5206\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u60c5\u51b5\u201d\u5bf9\u6bd4\u53ef\u770b\u51fa\uff08\u88681\uff09\uff0c\u5f00\u653e\u540e\u5370\u5ea6\u52b3\u52a8\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u5360\u6bd4\u5728\u51cf\u5c0f\uff0c\u8d44\u672c\u6280\u672f\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u53d1\u5c55\u5feb\u901f\uff0c\u521d\u7ea7\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u5360\u6bd4\u4ecd\u7136\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u5e76\u672a\u5229\u7528\u5176\u4eba\u53e3\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5370\u5ea6\u6ede\u7559\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4e5f\u672a\u7ed9\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u521b\u9020\u51fa\u53e3\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u884c\u4e1a\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5438\u6536\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u8f83\u591a\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u60c5\u51b5\u5374\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u4fe1\u606f\u670d\u52a1\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff08\u88682\uff09\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u8f6f\u4ef6\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u4e5f\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u5386\u5e74\u5438\u6536FDI\u6700\u591a\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u5bf9\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0d\u5927\u4f46\u7d20\u8d28\u8981\u6c42\u9ad8\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5438\u7eb3\u5927\u591a\u6570\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u88681 \u5370\u5ea6\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u5206\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u6ce8\uff1aSITC Rev.3 \u76841\u4f4d\u5206\u7c7b\u7f16\u7801\uff0c0-4\u7c7b\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e3a\u521d\u7ea7\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c5\u548c7\u7c7b\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e3a\u8d44\u672c\u548c\u6280\u672f\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c6\u548c8\u7c7b\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e3a\u52b3\u52a8\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c9\u7c7b\u4e3a\u5176\u4ed6\u672a\u5206\u7c7b\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eUN Comtrade\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u914d\u56fe\u88682 \u5370\u5ea6\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u5206\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u6ce8\uff1a\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eUN Comtrade\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u914d\u56fe\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u56e0\u7d20\u5bfc\u81f4\u5370\u5ea6\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u5f62\u6210\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7279\u5f81\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u59a8\u4ece\u4e0d\u540c\u89d2\u5ea6\u5bf9\u6b64\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u4e9b\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u5206\u6790\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u6276\u6301\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u5f00\u653e\u4e0a\u79c9\u6301\u4fdd\u5b88\u6001\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u4e0a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5e72\u9884\u8f83\u5927\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u5230\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u653f\u5e9c\u660e\u663e\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u5bf9\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u6276\u6301\u30021991\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5f00\u653e\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u8981\u4ee5\u8fdb\u53e3\u66ff\u4ee3\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002\u519c\u4e1a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e3a\u8d70\u51fa\u56e0\u7cae\u98df\u8fde\u5e74\u77ed\u7f3a\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u8fdb\u53e3\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u5de8\u989d\u5916\u6c47\u8d64\u5b57\u7684\u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u4ece\u5efa\u56fd\u4f0a\u59cb\u5c31\u4e0d\u65ad\u63a8\u52a8\u519c\u4e1a\u6539\u9769\u3002\u4ece\u201c\u56db\u4e94\u201d\u8ba1\u5212\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u65b9\u9762\u4e25\u683c\u9650\u5236\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u4f18\u5148\u8003\u8651\u80fd\u4fc3\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u51cf\u5c11\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n<p 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al\uff09\u7684\u5904\u7406\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5047\u5b9aAt\u4e3a\u4e0b\u4e09\u89d2\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u8be5\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0d\u4ec5\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u8bc1VAR\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u9012\u5f52\u8bc6\u522b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u5f85\u4f30\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u4e2a\u6570\uff0cAt\u548c\u03a3t\u5206\u522b\u4e3a\u5982\u4e0bk\u00d7k\u7ef4\u7684\u4e0b\u4e09\u89d2\u77e9\u9635\u548c\u5bf9\u89d2\u77e9\u9635:\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u7cfb\u6570\u03b2t\u3001\u77e9\u9635At\u548c\u534f\u65b9\u5dee\u77e9\u9635\u03a3t\u90fd\u662f\u65f6\u53d8\u7684\uff0c\u65f6\u53d8\u7684\u77e9\u9635At\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7b2ci\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u51b2\u51fb\u5bf9\u7b2cj\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u800c\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">TVP-VAR\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u5229\u7528\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u63a8\u65ad\u4e0b\u7684\u9a6c\u5c14\u79d1\u592b\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\uff08MCMC\uff09\u65b9\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u6b65\u9aa4\u53c2\u89c1\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e2d\u5c9b\u67d4\u5185\u7b49\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u4e0d\u518d\u8d58\u8ff0\u30022.\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u5ea6\u6307\u6807\u6784\u5efa\u3002\u5728\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u53c2\u8003\u6f58\u51e4\u6784\u5efa\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u5ea6\u6307\u6807\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u5370\u5ea6\u5206\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u8d38\u6613\u603b\u989d\u548cFDI\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u5ea6\u6d4b\u7b97\uff0c\u516c\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1aexit\u4e3ai\u4ea7\u4e1a\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\uff0cimit\u4e3ai\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8fdb\u53e3\u989d\uff0cFDIit\u4e3ai\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5916\u5546\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u5b58\u91cf\uff0cYit\u4e3ai\u4ea7\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u3002\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7ed3\u679c\u5206\u6790 1.\u53d8\u91cf\u9009\u53d6\u548c\u8bf4\u660e\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u6027\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u91c7\u75281987-2017\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9e\u8bc1\uff0c\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u4e3aGDP\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u4e3aopen\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u6570\u636e\u5747\u4ee5\u5343\u4e07\u5362\u6bd4\u4e3a\u5355\u4f4d\u5e76\u4ee52011\u5e74\u4e3a\u57fa\u671f\u5e74\u4efd\u8fdb\u884c\u5e73\u51cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u5177\u4f53\u60c5\u51b5\u5982\u4e0b\uff1aGDP\u548cY\uff0c\u7528\u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u6570\u636e\u523b\u753b\uff0c\u4e3a\u907f\u514d\u6781\u7aef\u503c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u6539\u53d8\u6570\u636e\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u5bf9GDP\u53d6\u5bf9\u6570\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eKLEMS\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u3002openi\u6d89\u53ca\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u548c\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1aFDI\u4e24\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eUN Comtrade Database\u4e2dSITC Rev.3\u76844\u4f4d\u5206\u7c7b\u7f16\u7801\u5206\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u6839\u636eEurostat\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684SITC Rev.3\u76844\u4f4d\u5206\u7c7b\u7f16\u7801\u8f6cISIC Rev.3\u76844\u4f4d\u5206\u7c7b\u7f16\u7801\u5bf9\u5e94\u8868\uff0c\u5206\u7c7b\u6c47\u603b\u5f97\u5230\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u989d\uff1b<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1aFDI\u6570\u636e\uff082005\u5e74\u53ca\u4e4b\u524d\uff09\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eUNCTAD\u7f16\u5199\u7684\u300aWorld Investment Directory\uff0cVolume VII-Part 1: Asia and the Pacifific\u300b\u4ee5\u53ca\u5370\u5ea6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u300aStatistical Pocket Book India\u300b\u5386\u5e74\u7248\u672c\uff1b<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">2006-2017\u5e74\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u5185\u90e8\u8d38\u6613\u4fc3\u8fdb\u90e8\uff08DPIIT\uff09\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u6839\u636e\u300aWorld Investment Directory\uff0cVolume VII &#8211; Part 1\uff1aAsia and the Pacifific\u300b\u4ee5\u53ca\u300aStatistical Pocket Book India\u300b\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u4e09\u6b21\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5305\u542b\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u4ea7\u4e1a\u95e8\u7c7b\u5bf92006\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u4ea7\u4e1a\u6c47\u603b\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u8bc1\u548c2005\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5f52\u7c7b\u4e00\u81f4\u30022.\u5e73\u7a33\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002TVP-VAR\u6a21\u578b\u5fc5\u987b\u6ee1\u8db3VAR\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u6570\u636e\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u56e0 \u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u53c2\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4e3a\u907f\u514d\u4f2a\u56de\u5f52\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u53d8\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884cADF\u5355\u4f4d\u6839\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\u5404\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u975e\u5e73\u7a33\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e00\u9636\u5dee\u5206\u540e\u5e73\u7a33\uff08\u88683\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u672c\u6587\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u53d8\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u5dee\u5206\u5904\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 1.05em;\">\u88683 ADF\u5355\u4f4d\u6839\u68c0\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u6ce8\uff1a\u68c0\u9a8c\u5f62\u5f0f\uff08T\uff0cI\uff0cK\uff09\u4e2d\uff0cT\uff0cI\uff0cK\u533a\u5206\u522b\u8868\u793aADF\u68c0\u9a8c\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u622a\u8ddd\u9879\u3001\u8d8b\u52bf\u9879\u548c\u6ede\u540e\u9636\u6570\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u914d\u56fe3.\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002\u5728\u7528TVP-VAR\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u5f52\u524d\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u786e\u5b9a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6ede\u540e\u9636\u6570\uff0c\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7Stata\u4e2d\u7684\u5411\u91cf\u81ea\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684AIC\u548cSC\u51c6\u5219\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\u4e00\u9636\u6ede\u540e\u6700\u4f18\uff08\u88684\uff09\u3002\u88684 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