{"id":3094,"date":"2023-10-05T23:43:46","date_gmt":"2023-10-05T15:43:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=3094"},"modified":"2023-10-05T23:43:46","modified_gmt":"2023-10-05T15:43:46","slug":"%e6%b7%b1%e5%ba%a6%ef%bd%9c%e5%8d%b0%e5%ad%a6%e8%80%85%ef%bc%9a%e8%b5%b6%e7%be%8e%e8%b6%85%e4%b8%ad%ef%bc%81%e6%88%91%e4%bb%ac%e5%8f%af%e6%98%af%e6%9c%89%e4%be%9d%e6%8d%ae%e7%9a%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=3094","title":{"rendered":"\u6df1\u5ea6\uff5c\u5370\u5b66\u8005\uff1a\u8d76\u7f8e\u8d85\u4e2d\uff01\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u662f\u6709\u4f9d\u636e\u7684"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a<\/strong>GTKH
\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf
\u539f\u6587\uff1a<\/strong>\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\u539f\u6587<\/a>
\u672c\u6587\u51714964\u5b57\u9605\u8bfb\u9884\u8ba112\u5206\u949f<\/div>\n

\u4f5c\u8005 | GTKH\u7f16\u8f91 | \u9648\u6b23\u96e8 \u6c5f\u6021\u76f8\u5173\u9605\u8bfb\u25bc\u6df1\u5ea6 | \u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e4b\u59cb\u7684\u201c\u53e4\u5409\u62c9\u7279\u6a21\u5f0f\u201d\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u56de\u4e8b\uff1f\u6df1\u5ea6 | \u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e4b\u4e8c\uff1a\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u597d\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u8425\u9500\u2026\u6df1\u5ea6 | \u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e4b\u4e09\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6e21\u8fc7\u7684\u52ab\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5c11\u4e0d\u4e86\u2026\u2026\u6df1\u5ea6 | \u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e4b\u56db\uff1a\u8c6a\u8d4c\u5e9f\u949e\u4ee4\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u7ed3\u679c\u7a76\u7adf\u5982\u4f55\uff1f\u6df1\u5ea6 | \u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e4b\u4e94\uff1a\u63b0\u5f00\u63c9\u788e\u770b\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u201c\u7f57\u751f\u95e8\u201d\u6df1\u5ea6 | \u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9274\u8d4f\u4e4b\u516d\uff1a\u5370\u201c\u65e0\u5c31\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u201d\u602a\u76f8\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u548b\u56de\u4e8b\uff1f\u6df1\u5ea6 | \u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e4b\u4e03\uff1a\u558a\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e48\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u201c\u6570\u5b57\u5370\u5ea6\u201d\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u88ab\u83ab\u8fea\u641e\u6210\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u4e86\uff1f\u8bc4\u8bba | \u201c\u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u201d\u5230\u5e95\u662f\u5565\uff1f\u5370\u5ea6\u5d1b\u8d77\u80fd\u9760\u5b83\uff1f\u8bc4\u8bba | \u5370\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5565\u8c1c\u56e2\uff0c\u60f9\u5370\u524d\u4efb\u4e0e\u73b0\u4efb\u9ad8\u5b98\u4e89\u6267\u4e0d\u4f11\uff1fSurjit Bhalla\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\u7f51\u7edc<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u3001\u5df4\u54e5\u795e\u7b97\u5370\u5ea6\u8d76\u7f8e\u8d85\u4e2d\uff012023\u5e749\u670814\u65e5\uff0c\u83ab\u8fea\u5fa1\u7528\u8206\u8bba\u6253\u624b\u3001\u5378\u4efb\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\u603b\u7406\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6210\u5458\u5df4\u54e5\uff08Surjit Bhalla\uff09\u901a\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u667a\u5e93\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u5b66\u4f1a\uff08Brookings\uff09\u64b0\u6587\u9610\u8ff0\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e2d\u56fd\u201d\u3002\u867d\u6b32\u8a00\u53c8\u6b62\uff0c\u4f46\u5df4\u54e5\u201c\u8d76\u7f8e\u8d85\u4e2d\u201d\u7684\u5f3a\u56fd\u68a6\u6b32\u671b\u5c3d\u4e0d\u5728\u8a00\u4e2d\uff08\u7b14\u8005\u6ce8\uff1a\u539f\u6587\u53c2\u89c1\u300aIndia\u2014China: Reversal of fortunes?\/\u5370\u4e2d\uff1a\u547d\u8fd0\u9006\u8f6c\uff1f\u300b\uff1b\u5168\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\u8f6c\u8f7d\u89c1\u4e8e\u300a\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf\u300b\u300a\u7f8e\u667a\u5e93\uff1a\u4e2d\u5370\u547d\u8fd0\u9006\u8f6c\uff1f\u537030\u5e74\u5185\u5c06\u8ffd\u4e0a\u4e2d\u56fd\uff1f\u300b\uff0c2023\u5e749\u670827\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff09\u83ab\u8fea\u603b\u7406\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee\u56e2\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u4e3a\u524d\u6392\u5de6\u4e8c\u7a7f\u767d\u886c\u886b\u8005 | \u56fe\u6e90\uff1aTheWire\u7b80\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u795e\u7b97\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u5747\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u65e5\u76ca\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d8b\u540c\uff0c\u5e76\u4f30\u8ba1\u6700\u8fdf\u57282044 \u5e74\u8ffd\u5e73\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u4fbf\u8fdb\u5165\u5370\u5ea6\u8ffd\u8d76\u5e76\u8d85\u8d8a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u5927\u56fd\u7ade\u6280\uff08\u56fe\u4e00\uff09\u3002\u56fe\u4e00\uff1a\u5df4\u54e5\u795e\u7b97\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u5747\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d8b\u540c\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u5b66\u4f1a\u300a\u5370\u4e2d\uff1a\u547d\u8fd0\u9006\u8f6c\uff1f\u300b\uff082023\u5e749\u670814\u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u6c49\u5316\uff1aGTKH\u3002\u5f80\u5df4\u54e5\u795e\u7b97\u5047\u8bbe\u6252\u4e00\u6252\uff0c\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\u5047\u8bbe\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u5404\u4e2a\u8981\u7d20\u90fd\u6bd4\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\uff1a\u26ab \u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u548c\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\uff1a\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e74-0.7%\u840e\u7f29\u3001\u800c\u5370\u5ea6\u5219\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e741.8%\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6545\u5370\u5ea6\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e742.5%\u51c0\u589e\u957f\u9886\u5148\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u26ab \u5b9e\u7269\u8d44\u672c\uff1a\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u5bfc\u81f4\u6bcf\u5e74-0.75%\u840e\u7f29\u3001\u800c\u5370\u5ea6\u6295\u8d44\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u5219\u5e26\u52a8\u6bcf\u5e740.75%\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6545\u5370\u5ea6\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e741.5%\u51c0\u589e\u957f\u9886\u5148\uff1b\u26ab \u5168\u8981\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\uff08Total factor productivity\uff09\uff1a\u5047\u8bbe\u5370\u5ea6\u5ef6\u7eed\u201c\u8fc7\u53bb10\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6bcf\u5e741.5%\u8d85\u989d\u589e\u957f\u201d\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e741.5%\u8d85\u989d\u589e\u957f\u9886\u5148\u4e2d\u56fd\uff1b\u5df4\u54e5\u628a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5047\u8bbe\u5957\u5165\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\uff0c\u6d4b\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa\u6240\u8c13\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u201c2020 \u5e74\u81f32045\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u6bd4\u4e2d\u56fd\u5feb3.5%\u2026\u2026\u6700\u8fdf\u5728 2044 \u5e74\u8ffd\u5e73\u4e2d\u56fd\u201d\u7684\u795e\u7ed3\u8bba\u30022021\u5e748\u670815\u65e5\uff0c\u83ab\u8fea\u5728\u72ec\u7acb75\u5468\u5e74\u76f8\u5173\u5e86\u5178\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u671d\u54112047\u5e74\u5370\u5ea6\u72ec\u7acb100\u5468\u5e74\u201cAmrit Kaal\/\u751c\u871c\u65f6\u5149\u201d25\u5e74\u613f\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n

2023\u5e748\u670815\u65e5\uff0c\u83ab\u8fea\u5728\u72ec\u7acb77\u5468\u5e74\u65e5\u5e86\u795d\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e0a\u6d0b\u6d0b\u6d12\u6d12\u957f\u8fbe\u4e00\u4e2a\u534a\u5c0f\u65f6\u5168\u56fd\u8bb2\u8bdd\u4e2d\u8a93\u8a00\u5728\u672a\u67655\u5e74\u5185\u5b9e\u73b0\u201c\u65e0\u4ee5\u4f26\u6bd4\u7684\u589e\u957f\u201d\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u6307\u5411\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u67655\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u664b\u5347\u201c\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e09\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u201d\u3001\u5e76\u57282047\u5e74\u5e86\u795d\u767e\u5e74\u72ec\u7acb\u4e4b\u9645\u5b9e\u73b0\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5b8f\u5927\u613f\u666f\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u83ab\u8fea\u5fa1\u7528\u8206\u8bba\u6253\u624b\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u51fa\u624b\u795e\u7b97\uff0c\u753b\u51fa\u4e86\u201c\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e2d\u56fd\u201d\u3001\u201c\u8d76\u7f8e\u8d85\u4e2d\u201d\u7684\u5f3a\u56fd\u68a6\u5927\u997c\uff0c\u4e3a2047\u5e74\u5370\u5ea6\u72ec\u7acb100\u5468\u5e74\u201c\u751c\u871c\u65f6\u5149\u201d\u3001\u5b9e\u73b0\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5b8f\u5927\u613f\u666f\u8d21\u732e\u4e86KPI\u91cf\u5316\u6307\u6807\uff01<\/p>\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u5df4\u54e5\u8206\u8bba\u6253\u624b\u9ed1\u5386\u53f2\u300a\u83ab\u8fea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9274\u8d4f\u300b\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6587\u7ae0\u5df2\u7ecf\u6570\u6b21\u6252\u5f00\u5df4\u54e5\u5145<\/h2>\n

\u5f53\u83ab\u8fea\u5fa1\u7528\u8206\u8bba\u6253\u624b\u7684\u9ed1\u5386\u53f2\u3002\u7b2c\u4e94\u7bc7\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7f57\u751f\u95e8\u300b\u56de\u987e\u4e86\u5df4\u54e5\u4e24\u6b21\u51fa\u9762\u5206\u522b\u4e3a\u56f4\u7ed52015\u5e74\u65b0\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u7cfb\u5217\u57fa\u51c6\u53d8\u66f4\u4e89\u8bae\u4ee5\u53ca2018\u5e74\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u5012\u63a8\u7cfb\u5217\u4e89\u8bae\u4e3a\u83ab\u8fea\u8fa9\u62a4\u3002\u4e24\u6b21\u4e0b\u573a\u62a4\u4e3b\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u4e0d\u4ec5\u901a\u8fc7\u4f7f\u7528\u6280\u672f\u8bba\u8bc1\u4e89\u8fa9\uff0c\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u5df4\u54e5\u660e\u786e\u70b9\u51fa\u4e86\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u7cfb\u5217\u4e89\u8bae\u80cc\u540e\u6709\u7740\u66f4\u6df1\u5c42\u6b21\u7684\u201c\u53cd\u5bf9\u83ab\u8fea\u201d\u653f\u6cbb\u56e0\u7d20\u3001\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u83ab\u8fea\u54c1\u53d1\u8d77\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6311\u6218\uff01\u7b2c\u516d\u7bc7\u300a\u6cb9\u6761\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5c31\u4e1a\u8bba\u300b\u56de\u987e\u4e86\u5df4\u54e5\u64b0\u6587\u516c\u5f00\u5426\u8ba4\u83ab\u8fea\u66fe\u7ecf\u4f5c\u201c\u521b\u9020\u7684\u4e00\u5343\u4e07\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u201d\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u4e0e\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u9053\u76f8\u6096\u4e14\u4e0d\u5408\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u5426\u5b9a\u7ed3\u8bba\uff08\u5ffd\u60a0\uff1f<\/p>\n

\uff09\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u4e3a\u9762\u4e34 jobless growth\/\u65e0\u5c31\u4e1a\u6027\u589e\u957f\u56f0\u5c40\u5bfb\u65e0\u89e3\u65b9\u7684\u83ab\u8fea\u5f00\u8131\uff08\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u5df4\u54e5\u300aAll you wanted to know about Jobs in India\u2013but were afraid to ask\/\u4f60\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u2014\u2014\u4f46\u4e0d\u6562\u95ee\u2014\u2014\u5173\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u5c31\u4e1a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4e00\u5207\u7591\u95ee\u300b\uff0c2018\u5e747\u67089\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u56f4\u7ed5\u65e0\u5c31\u4e1a\u6027\u589e\u957f\u56f0\u5c40\u76f8\u5173\u8206\u8bba\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u4e5f\u64b0\u6587\u70b9\u540d\u6279\u5224\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76d1\u6d4b\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy\uff0cCMIE\uff09\u6570\u636e\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u4e25\u91cd\u5b58\u7591\u6545\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u91c7\u4fe1\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u914d\u5408\u83ab\u8fea\u653f\u6743\u53d1\u8d77\u9488\u5bf9\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76d1\u6d4b\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u6279\u5224\uff0c\u8f6c\u79fb\u8206\u8bba\u9488\u5bf9\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u589e\u957f\u75b2\u60eb\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n

2019\u5e7410\u67089\u65e5\uff0c\u83ab\u8fea\u63a5\u89c1\u5df4\u54e5\u5e76\u63a5\u6536\u5176\u8d60\u4e66\u300a\u65b0\u56fd\u5bcc\u8bba\u300b| \u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u5df4\u54e5\u63a8\u7279\u4ece\u5370\u5ea6\u603b\u7406\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5378\u4efb\u540e\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u4e8e2019\u5e7410\u67081\u65e5\u88ab\u83ab\u8fea\u59d4\u4ee5\u91cd\u4efb\uff0c\u6d3e\u9a7b\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\uff08IMF\uff09\u4efb\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u3001\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u3001\u4e0d\u4e39\u533a\u57df\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u4efb\u4e09\u5e74\u3002\u5728\u8d74\u7f8e\u4efb\u5185\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u7565\u65bd\u5c0f\u806a\u660e\u4f0e\u4fe9\uff0c\u628a\u5370\u5ea6\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u5171\u5206\u914d\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08Public Distribution System\uff0cPDS\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u8865\u8d34\u7eb3\u5165\u6536\u5165\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63a8\u5bfc\u51fa\u83ab\u8fea\u653f\u6743\u6276\u7a77\u8131\u8d2b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u7a7a\u524d\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u8d2b\u56f0\u7387\u663e\u7740\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u201c\u653f\u7ee9\u201d\uff01\u5df4\u54e5\u8bba\u8bc1\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u8131\u8d2b\u6210\u529f\u8bba\u201d\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u5370\u5ea6\u5a92\u4f53\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e00\u81f4\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u53d9\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u8131\u8d2b\u6210\u529f\u8bba\u201d\u4e00\u8bf4\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u8206\u8bba\u754c\u851a\u7136\u6210\u98ce\uff0c\u4e5f\u88ab\u83ab\u8fea\u653f\u6743\u91c7\u7eb3\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5411\u5168\u7403\u5357\u65b9\u515c\u552e\u5370\u5ea6\u6cbb\u7406\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6210\u529f\u5178\u8303\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e09\u3001\u6252\u4e00\u6252\u5df4\u54e5\u6700\u65b0\u795e\u7b97\u6252\u5b8c\u5df4\u54e5\u5145<\/h2>\n

\u5f53\u83ab\u8fea\u5fa1\u7528\u8206\u8bba\u6253\u624b\u7684\u9ed1\u5386\u53f2\u3002\u518d\u56de\u8fc7\u5934\u6252\u4e00\u6252\u6700\u65b0\u795e\u7b97\u5230\u5e95\u795e\u4e0d\u795e\u3002\u4e13\u4e1a\u7684\u660e\u773c\u4eba\u4e00\u770b\u4fbf\u80fd\u70b9\u51fa\u5df4\u54e5\u6700\u65b0\u795e\u7b97\u9700\u8981\u5546\u69b7\u7684\u5ba2\u89c2\u5047\u8bbe\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3b\u89c2\u81c6\u60f3\u2014\u2014 \u5305\u62ec\u4f46\u4e0d\u9650\u4e8e\uff1a\u7b80\u964b\u7c97\u7cd9\u7684\u76f4\u7ebf\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u3001\u4ece\u76f8\u5bf9\u751f\u50fb\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u6307\u6807\u5165\u624b\u3001\u8fd1\u4e4e\u4e00\u53a2\u60c5\u613f\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u2014\u2014\u6240\u4ee5\u672c\u77ed\u8bc4\u4e0d\u6d89\u5165\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u7b14\u8005\u4e00\u5473\u5426\u5b9a\u5df4\u54e5\u6700\u65b0\u795e\u7b97\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u63d0\u5021\u4ee5\u201c\u6218\u7565\u4e0a\u85d0\u89c6\u654c\u4eba\uff0c\u6218\u672f\u4e0a\u91cd\u89c6\u654c\u4eba\u201d\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u76f4\u9762\u3002\u7b14\u8005\u53e6\u8f9f\u8e4a\u5f84\uff0c\u4ece\u5df4\u54e5\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u201c\u795e\u7b97\u201d\u8bb0\u5f55\u5207\u5165\uff0c\u63a2\u8ba8\u5df4\u54e5\u6700\u65b0\u795e\u7b97\u66f4\u6df1\u5c42\u6b21\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0e\u81c6\u60f3\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e00\u63a2\u7d22\u89d2\u5ea6\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ece\u5df4\u54e5\u300a\u5370\u4e2d\uff1a\u547d\u8fd0\u9006\u8f6c\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u6240\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u6587\u732e\u627e\u5230\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u6587\u732e\u4e00\u5df4\u54e5\u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u81ea\u8eab\u76842017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300aThe New Wealth of Nations\/\u65b0\u56fd\u5bcc\u8bba\u300b\u7b2c\u56db\u7ae0\u201cProgress: Lost in 480 years, Gained in 48 years\/\u8fdb\u5c55\uff1a\u5931\u843d\u4e86480\u5e74\uff0c\u752848\u5e74\u6536\u590d\u5931\u5730\u201d\u3002\u300a\u65b0\u56fd\u5bcc\u8bba\u300b\u5168\u4e66\u4e3b\u9898\u662f\uff1a\u201c\u6559\u80b2\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3001\u662f\u521b\u9020\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u5bcc\u7684\u65b0\u57fa\u77f3\u201d\u3002\u5df4\u54e5\u7684\u300a\u65b0\u56fd\u5bcc\u8bba\u300b | \u56fe\u6e90\uff1aTheIndianExpress\u7efc\u5408\u591a\u7bc7\u9488\u5bf9\u300a\u65b0\u56fd\u5bcc\u8bba\u300b\u7684\u4e66\u8bc4\uff0c\u8be5\u4e66\u4e3b\u9898\u7684\u8868\u9762\u5b8f\u89c2\u903b\u8f91\u6bcb\u5eb8\u7f6e\u7591\uff0c\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u603b\u662f\u57cb\u85cf\u5728\u9b54\u9b3c\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u26ab \u5df4\u54e5\u6807\u7b7e\u5316\uff08\u5e7c\u7a1a\u5316\uff1f<\/p>\n

\uff09\u6559\u80b2\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u8d77\u5230\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u201c\u4eca\u5929\u4f60\u63a5\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\uff0c\u660e\u5929\u4f60\u5f81\u670d\u4e86\u5de5\u4f5c\u573a\u6240\uff0c\u540e\u5929\u4f60\u664b\u5347\u516c\u53f8\u8463\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff0c\u7b2c\u56db\u5929\u4f60\u6539\u53d8\u653f\u6cbb\u683c\u5c40\u3002\u201d\u6362\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u6559\u80b2\u662f\u4e00\u6839\u9b54\u6756\uff0c\u5176\u9b54\u529b\u80fd\u591f\u4e00\u4e3e\u589e\u52a0\u6536\u5165\u3001\u521b\u9020\u8d22\u5bcc\u3001\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u3001\u8d4b\u4e88\u5987\u5973\u6743\u529b\u3001\u521b\u9020\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u6216\u4f7f\u7cbe\u82f1\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\uff08\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u6559\u5f92\u62a5\u300b2017\u5e7412\u670816\u65e5\uff09\uff1b\u26ab \u5df4\u54e5\u5c06\u201cschooling\/\u4e0a\u5b66\u201d\u548c\u201ceducation\/\u6559\u80b2\u201d\u6df7\u4e3a\u4e00\u8c08\u2026\u2026\u4e0a\u5b66\u53ea\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u201c\u5728\u6821\u65f6\u95f4\u201d\u4f46\u5e76\u4e0d\u53cd\u6620\u6559\u80b2\u6240\u610f\u5473\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u6536\u83b7\u6216\u601d\u7ef4\u7684\u638c\u63e1\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ee5\u201c\u5c0f\u5b66\u3001\u4e2d\u5b66\u3001\u9ad8\u7b49\u6559\u80b2\u201d\u7b49\u7b80\u5316\u6807\u7b7e\u4ee3\u6307\u5404\u56fd\u8fbe\u5230\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u6216\u201c\u6559\u80b2\u6c34\u5e73\u201d\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u662f\u7ecf\u4e0d\u8d77\u63a8\u6572\u7684\uff08\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u5feb\u62a5\u300b2018\u5e741\u670820\u65e5\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u26ab \u5df4\u54e5\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5168\u7403\u9769\u547d\u6027\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u6559\u80b2\u5728\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u666e\u53ca\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u529b\u8bc1\u6559\u80b2\u4e0e\u6536\u5165\u7684\u6b63\u9762\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u4f46\u52a0\u7eb3\u4e0e\u6cf0\u56fd\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u5219\u662f\u53cd\u8bc1\uff1a\u81ea1960\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u52a0\u7eb3\u7684\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u5e74\u9650\u6bd4\u6cf0\u56fd\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u4e24\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u66fe\u7ecf\u4e00\u5ea6\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u52a0\u7eb3\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u53ea\u6709\u6cf0\u56fd\u7684\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\uff08\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u5feb\u62a5\u300b2018\u5e741\u670820\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u5df4\u54e5\u6700\u65b0\u795e\u7b97\u6240\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u7b2c\u56db\u7ae0\uff08\u5373\u8fd1\u4ee3\u4e2d\u5370\u901a\u8fc7\u7f29\u5c0f\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6559\u80b2\u5dee\u8ddd\u800c\u8fc5\u901f\u6536\u590d\u4e86\u8fd1500\u5e74\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u4e22\u5931\u7684\u201c\u65e7\u5730\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u591a\u7bc7\u4e66\u8bc4\u4e5f\u70b9\u51fa\u5df4\u54e5\u8bba\u70b9\u7684\u8f6f\u808b\uff1a\u5df4\u54e5\u5c06\u4e2d\u5370\u4e24\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u8054\u5408\u6574\u4f53\u4e00\u5e76\u8bba\u8ff0\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u9488\u5bf9\u5370\u5ea6\u8fdb\u884c\u5355\u72ec\u5206\u6790\u8bba\u8ff0\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u5370\u4e4b\u95f4\u591a\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u80fd\u7b49\u540c\u8bba\u4e4b\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e09\u7f04\u5176\u53e3\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u8a00\u5916\u4e4b\u610f\u5df4\u54e5\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\u5370\u4e24\u56fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5747\u5300\u5b9e\u4f53\uff0c\u5176\u8bba\u8ff0\u57fa\u7840\u6216\u8bb8\u5931\u771f\uff08\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u7535\u62a5\u300b2018\u5e741\u670820\u65e5\uff09\uff1b\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u6559\u5f92\u5546\u4e1a\u7ebf\u300b2018\u5e743\u67089\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5df4\u54e5\u5728\u300a\u65b0\u56fd\u5bcc\u8bba\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u628a\u4e2d\u5370\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u8054\u5408\u6574\u4f53\u4e00\u5e76\u8bba\u8ff0\u5e76\u975e\u5176\u9996\u6b21\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u5df4\u54e5\u5728\u51762002\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300aImagine There's No Country: Poverty, Inequality and Growth in the era of Globalization\/\u5047\u8bbe\u6ca1\u6709\u56fd\u522b\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u5316\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u8d2b\u56f0\u3001\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u548c\u589e\u957f\u300b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u660e\u786e\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u5df4\u54e5\u4e00\u76f4\u628a\u4e2d\u5370\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5408\u800c\u4e3a<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u3001\u4e00\u5e76\u8bba\u8ff0\uff08\u56fe\u4e8c\uff09\u3002\u56fe\u4e8c\uff1a<\/h2>\n

\u5df4\u54e5\u4e00\u76f4\u628a\u4e2d\u5370\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5408\u800c\u4e3a\u4e00\u8fdb\u884c\u8bba\u8ff0\u3002\u6765\u6e90\uff1aInstitute for International Economics\/\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u300a\u5047\u8bbe\u6ca1\u6709\u56fd\u5bb6\u533a\u5206\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u5316\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u8d2b\u56f0\u3001\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u548c\u589e\u957f\u300b\uff082023\u5e749\u670814\u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u6c49\u5316\uff1aGTKH\u3002\u7136\u800c\u4ece 2002\u5e74\u300a\u5047\u8bbe\u6ca1\u6709\u56fd\u522b\u300b\u52302017\u5e74\u300a\u65b0\u56fd\u5bcc\u8bba\u300b\uff0c\u7ed3\u5408\u5df4\u54e5\u5176\u5b83\u8bba\u8ff0\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u51762000\u5e74\u4ee3\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u300a\u5546\u4e1a\u6807\u51c6\u300b\u7684\u300aIt doesn't matter\/\u65e0\u6240\u8c13\u300b\u4e13\u680f\u6587\u7ae0\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u516c\u5f00\u573a\u5408\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u4e13\u8bbf\uff0c2017\u5e7412\u670823\u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u7edd\u5bf9\u4e0d\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u7c89\u4e1d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56e0\u6b64\u5408\u7406\u731c\u6d4b\u5df4\u54e5\u4ec5\u662f\u5229\u7528\u4e2d\u5370\u4e24\u56fd\u5408\u5e76\u6570\u636e\u6216\u5c06\u4e2d\u5370\u4e24\u56fd\u5408\u5e76\u8bba\u8ff0\u6765\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u6784\u5efa\u6709\u5229\u7684\u53d9\u4e8b\uff0c\u5373\u3001\u6709\u501f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u529b\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u9020\u52bf\u4e4b\u865e\uff01\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u6587\u732e\u4e8c\u5df4\u54e5\u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u81ea\u8eab2007\u5e74\u672a\u6b63\u5f0f\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4f5c\u54c1\u300aSecond Among Equals: The Middle Class Kingdoms of India and China\/\u5171\u540c\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff1a\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u738b\u56fd\u300b\u3002\u300a\u5171\u540c\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e8c\u300b\u5168\u6587\u957f\u8fd1400\u9875\uff0c\u4f46\u5168\u6587\u91cd\u70b9\u53ef\u4ee5\u603b\u7ed3\u4e3a\u4e24\u53e5\u8bdd\uff1a\u26ab \u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51e0\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u90fd\u4e0d\u76f8\u4e0a\u4e0b\uff0c\u5f53\u4e0b\u3010\u53732007\u5e74\u3011\u5370\u5ea6\u843d\u540e\u4e2d\u56fd5\u81f310\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5f88\u77ed\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5386\u53f2\u5e94\u8be5\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u590d\u5370\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u65e7\u6709\u5e73\u8861\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u26ab \u7f29\u5c0f\u5370\u4e2d\u5dee\u8ddd\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e2d\u56fd\u2026\u2026\u8fd9\u4e2a\u60c5\u51b5\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\uff0calmost certainly by 2010\/\u51e0\u4e4e\u53ef\u4ee5\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u5728 2010 \u5e74\u3002\u300a\u5171\u540c\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e8c\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u5927\u6807\u9898\u5176\u5b9e\u4e0d\u4ec5\u66b4\u9732\u4e86\u5df4\u54e5\u7684\u201c\u5370\u4e2d\u5386\u53f2\u5e73\u8861\u201d\u60c5\u7ed3\uff0c\u4e5f\u8fde\u5e26\u66b4\u9732\u4e86\u5df4\u54e5\u6839\u6df1\u8482\u56fa\u7684\u5fc3\u9b54\uff1a\u5d1b\u8d77\u540e\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\u4f9d\u7136\u53ea\u80fd\u4f4d\u5c45<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u5df4\u54e5\u5185\u5fc3\u6df1\u5904\u67d0\u4e00\u5bb6\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\uff09\u59cb\u7ec8\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e00\uff01\u5927\u80c6\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5df4\u54e5\u672a\u80fd\u7a81\u7834\u5176\u5fc3\u9b54\u3001\u4e0e\u83ab\u8fea\u5185\u5fc3\u6df1\u5904\u7684\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5f3a\u56fd\u201d\u91ce\u671b\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u7ec8\u6709\u4e00\u5929\u4f1a\u4e0e\u83ab\u8fea\u4ea7\u751f\u82a5\u8482\u800c\u4e0d\u518d\u88ab\u91cd\u7528\u4e3a\u8206\u8bba\u6253\u624b\uff01<\/p>\n

\u56db\u3001\u5df4\u54e5\u7684\u201c\u5370\u4e2d\u5386\u53f2\u5e73\u8861\u201d\u60c5\u7ed3\u5df2\u6545\u82f1\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Angus Maddison\u4f30\u8ba1\u5e76\u4e3b\u5f20\u5370\u5ea6\u81ea\u516c\u51431\u5e74\u81f3\u516c\u51431700\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u51e0\u4e4e\u5360\u4e16\u754cGDP\u7684\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u6216\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u8fd9\u6bb5\u671f\u95f4\u5185\u5370\u5ea6\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e73\u5206\u79cb\u8272\u6216\u7565\u80dc\u4e00\u7b79\uff0c\u662f\u59a5\u59a5\u7684\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5f3a\u56fd\u201d\uff08\u56fe\u4e09\uff09\u3002\u56fe\u4e09\uff1a\u4e2d\u5370\u5386\u53f2\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff08\u516c\u5143 1\u5e74\u81f3\u516c\u5143 1820 \u5e74\uff09\u3002\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u8377\u5170\u683c\u7f57\u5b81\u6839\u5927\u5b66\uff08www.rug.nl\uff09\u65e0\u8bba\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u6587\u732e\u6216\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6587\u732e\u89d2\u5ea6\uff0cAngus Maddison\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u5a31\u4e50\u6027\u6709\u4f59\u3001\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u5b58\u7591\u2014\u2014\u4f8b\u5982\u5370\u5ea6\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u9c9c\u4ee5\u7edf\u4e00\u5b9e\u4f53\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4f55\u4ee5\u8bba\u5176\u6574\u4f53\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff1f\u53c8\u4f8b\u5982\u5370\u5ea6\u5386\u53f2\u4f20\u7edf\u4ee5\u53e3\u53e3\u76f8\u4f20\u4e3a\u5176\u4f20\u627f\u5a92\u4ecb\uff0c\u4e00\u4ecb\u82f1\u56fd\u5b66\u8005\u4f55\u4ee5\u8ffd\u6eaf\u5230\u6240\u8c13\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u516c\u51431\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u53ef\u4fe1\u8bb0\u8f7d\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u4f46\u5176\u201c\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5370\u5ea6\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5f3a\u56fd\u201d\u4e3b\u5f20\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u524d\u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5bb6\u8f6c\u578b\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08NITI Aayog\uff09\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2dArvind Panagariya\/\u6f58\u54e5\u76842020\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300aIndia Unlimited\uff1aReclaiming the Lost Glories\/\u6f5c\u529b\u65e0\u9650\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\uff1a\u91cd\u593a\u5931\u53bb\u7684\u8363\u8000\u300b\u4fbf\u662f\u5f15\u7528 Angus Maddison \u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5176\u201c\u91cd\u593a\u5931\u53bb\u7684\u8363\u8000\u201d\u4e3b\u5f20\u7406\u8bba\u4f9d\u636e\u3002\u5df4\u54e5\u5728\u300a\u5171\u540c\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e8c\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\u5f15\u7528\u4e86Angus Maddison\u7684\u4e3b\u5f20\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u300a\u5370\u4e2d\uff1a\u547d\u8fd0\u9006\u8f6c\uff1f\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\u4e5f\u91cd\u590d\u5f15\u7528\u4e3a\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u4f9d\u636e\uff1a\u201c\u8d8b\u540c\u7684\u60a0\u4e45\u5386\u53f2\u4f18\u52bf\u7ad9\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fb9\u3002<\/p>\n

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