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\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u768420\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u5168\u8981\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u7684\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd0.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb10\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u8981\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u7684\u8d85\u989d\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a\u6bcf\u5e741.5%\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u4f9d\u7136\u5360\u4f18\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff0c2020-2045\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e2d\u56fd3.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u5047\u8bbe\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4efd\u989d\u4e3a60%\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\/\u8d44\u672c\u8d85\u989d\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5206\u522b\u4e3a2.5%\u548c1.5%\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5f97\u5230\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u8d85\u989d\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a:0.6*2.5 + 0.4*1.5 = 2.1%\u3002\u5168\u8981\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u7684\u8d85\u989d\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a1.5%\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u8d85\u989d\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a3.6%\u3002\u8fc8\u5411\u8d8b\u540c\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5927\u7ea610\u5e74\u524d\u30022014\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4eba\u5747\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7(PPP)\u6536\u5165\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u768443%\uff0c\u4e3a\u73b0\u4ee3\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u60a0\u4e45\u7684\u8d8b\u540c\u5386\u53f2\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u3002\u5728\u5927\u7ea6480\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc(\u4ece1500\u5e74\u52301980\u5e74)\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u6536\u5165\u76f8\u540c(\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u5e73\u4ef7\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b)\u3002\u4e4b\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u957f\u8fbe44\u5e74\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u8ddd;\u57282014\u5e74\u7684\u9f0e\u76db\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u6536\u5165\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u76842.34\u500d\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u786e\u5b9e\u4f1a\u91cd\u6f14\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u662fv\u578b\u7684\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u91cd\u65b0\u8d76\u4e0a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u9053\u8def\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u4e0d\u523030\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1aBrookings\u4f5c\u8005\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u82cf\u5c14\u5409\u7279\u00b7S\u00b7\u5e15\u62c9\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u3001\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u548c\u4e0d\u4e39\u524d\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u4efb;\u5361\u5170\u00b7\u5df4\u8f9b\uff0c\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u5965\u5c14\u5df4\u5c3c\u5206\u6821\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u52a9\u7406\u3002\u672c\u6587\u7f16\u8bd1\u81eabrookings\u7f51\u7ad92023\u5e749\u670814\u65e5\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u539f\u6807\u9898\u4e3a\uff1aIndia\u2014China: Reversal of fortunes?<\/p>\n

\uff0c\u539f\u7f51\u5740\u4e3a\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/india-china-reversal-of-fortunes\/<\/a>\u672c\u671f\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u674e\u6893\u7855 \u6c5f\u6021<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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