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Ned Davis Research\u4e13\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u81ea\u52a8\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u66f4\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6216\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u662f\u9884\u6d4b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u66f4\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u8036\u9c81\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388John Geanakoplos\u8868\u793a\uff0cMO\u6bd4\u503c\uff0c\u5373\u4e2d\u5e74\uff0840-49\u5c81\uff09\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u4e0e\u8001\u5e74\uff0860-69\u5c81\uff09\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u4e4b\u6bd4\uff0c\u4e0e\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u663e\u8457\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3aMO\u6bd4\u503c\u53ef\u660e\u786e\u6307\u793a\u4e3a\u9000\u4f11\u50a8\u84c4\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u4ece\u80a1\u5e02\u63d0\u53d6\u8d44\u91d1\u4ee5\u652f\u4ed8\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002MO\u6bd4\u503c\u9ad8\u65f6\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u652f\u51fa\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u50a8\u6237\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8d44\u672c\u76f8\u5bf9\u5145\u88d5\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u4f4e\u4e8e\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u672a\u6765\u6536\u76ca\u548c\u80a1\u606f\u7684\u8d34\u73b0\u503c\u4f1a\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

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