{"id":228,"date":"2021-08-16T17:19:33","date_gmt":"2021-08-16T09:19:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=228"},"modified":"2021-08-16T17:19:33","modified_gmt":"2021-08-16T09:19:33","slug":"%e9%87%8d%e7%a3%85-%e9%98%bf%e5%af%8c%e6%b1%97%e5%a4%a7%e5%8f%98%e5%b1%80%e7%a9%b6%e7%ab%9f%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e5%88%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=228","title":{"rendered":"\u91cd\u78c5 | \u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5927\u53d8\u5c40\u7a76\u7adf\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u5229\u76ca\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a<\/strong>\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf
\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf
\u539f\u6587\uff1a<\/strong>\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/div>\n

\u672c\u6587\u5171\u8ba1\uff1a5293 \uff5c \u9605\u8bfb\u9884\u8ba1\uff1a14\u5206\u949f\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aChris Devonshire-Ellis\u7f16\u8bd1\uff1a\u738b\u5a07\u6768\u5ba1\u6838\uff1a\u9648\u5b89\u6f9c\uff0d\u672c\u671f\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u675c\u6587\u777f \u6c5f\u6021\uff0d\u5bfc\u8a00\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5df2\u5360\u9886\u9996\u90fd\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\uff0c\u6b63\u51c6\u5907\u5728\u65f6\u9694\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u91cd\u65b0\u5efa\u7acb\u65b0\u653f\u6743\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u56fd\u5bb6\u547d\u8fd0\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u91cd\u5927\u8f6c\u6298\u3002\u7f8e\u897f\u65b9\u8d25\u8d70\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u56fd\u5185\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u5927\u53d8\u5c40\uff1f\u9762\u5bf9\u963f\u5854\u653f\u6743\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7a76\u7adf\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u52aa\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u5171\u5efa\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u907f\u514d\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u201c\u5927\u56fd\u5708\u5957\u201d\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u52bf\u5fc5\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005Chris Devonshire-Ellis\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u963f\u5854\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u672a\u6765\u5b89\u5168\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u57fa\u77f3\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u907f\u514d\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7ee7\u7eed\u6ecb\u751f\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u9600\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e2d\u3001\u4fc4\u53ef\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u591a\u79cd\u9014\u5f84\uff0c\u9762\u5411\u963f\u5854\u653f\u6743\u63a8\u52a8\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u8fd9\u6709\u671b\u5f00\u542f\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u548c\u5e73\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u65b0\u65f6\u4ee3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u963f\u5854\u653f\u6743\u524d\u666f\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u6781\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\uff0c\u4f46\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u9887\u5177\u6d1e\u89c1\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u53c2\u8003\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf\u5c0f\u7ec4\u7279\u7f16\u8bd1\u6b64\u6587\uff0c\u4f9b\u8bfb\u8005\u53c2\u8003\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u897f\u65b9\u8054\u519b\u4f7f\u51fa\u6d51\u8eab\u89e3\u6570\uff0c\u60f3\u4ece\u4e00\u573a\u8426\u7ed5\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u62bd\u8eab\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u95ee\u9898\u518d\u5ea6\u5f15\u8d77\u5168\u7403\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u67b6\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u7528\u98de\u673a\u98de\u79bb\u5df4\u683c\u62c9\u59c6\u57fa\u5730\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5269\u4f59\u7684\u8bbe\u65bd\u88ab\u6d17\u52ab\u4e00\u7a7a\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd9\u4e2a\u66fe\u7ecf\u7684\u6218\u7565\u67a2\u7ebd\u57fa\u5730\u5df2\u88ab\u5f7b\u5e95\u653e\u5f03\u3002\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e76\u672a\u5c06\u64a4\u79bb\u547d\u4ee4\u544a\u77e5\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u5e9c\u519b\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5317\u7ea69\u00b711\u4e8b\u4ef6\u540e\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u653b\u51fb\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u4ee5\u727a\u7272\u963f\u4ec0\u62c9\u592b\u00b7\u52a0\u5c3c(President Ashraf Ghani)\u603b\u7edf\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u5168\u9762\u52a0\u5feb\u63a5\u7ba1\u5168\u56fd\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u2014\u2014\u98ce\u96e8\u98d8\u6447\u7684\u52a0\u5c3c\u603b\u7edf\u66fe\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u4f9b\u804c\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u7ea6\u7ff0\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\uff0c\u73b0\u5904\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4efb\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\u7531\u5e0c\u5df4\u56fe\u62c9\u00b7\u963f\u6d2a\u624e\u8fbe(Hibatullah Akhundzada)\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5f53\u521d\u66fe\u5efa\u7acb\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u4f46\u57282001\u5e74\u88ab\u5165\u4fb5\u7684\u7f8e\u897f\u8054\u519b\u63a8\u7ffb\u3002\u800c20\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u963f\u5854\u80fd\u5426\u590d\u523b\u201c\u6210\u529f\u5f80\u4e8b\u201d\u4ecd\u672a\u53ef\u77e5\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u770b\u6982\u7387\u6781\u9ad8\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5b66\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u52a0\u5c3c\u548c\u73b0\u4efb\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u88ab\u8feb\u6d41\u4ea1\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5236\u90209\u00b711\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u963f\u5854\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5b97\u6559\u6781\u7aef\u7ec4\u7ec7\u2014\u2014\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7(Al-Qaeda)\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u571f\u8033\u5176\u7684\u5317\u7ea6\u90e8\u961f\u5c06\u6253\u7740\u201c\u4fdd\u62a4\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u201d\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u91cd\u8981\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u65d7\u53f7\u7559\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u3002\u800c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u9488\u5bf9\u963f\u5854\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u53db\u4e71\u5206\u5b50\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u90fd\u5c06\u901a\u8fc7\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u8fdc\u7a0b\u6267\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u9ebe\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u653f\u6743\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u914b\u957f\u56fd(IEA)\u201d\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5b97\u6559\u5f3a\u786c\u6d3e\u653f\u6743\uff0c\u201c\u963f\u4f0a\u914b\u201d\u66fe\u57281996\u5e74\u81f32001\u5e74\u95f4\u7edf\u6cbb\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u3002\u963f\u5854\u56e0\u5176\u4ee5\u539f\u6559\u65e8\u65b9\u5f0f\u89e3\u91ca\u548c\u63a8\u884c\u6c99\u91cc\u4e9a\u6559\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f7f\u8bb8\u591a\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6c11\u4f17\u906d\u5230\u6b8b\u9177\u5bf9\u5f85\uff0c\u5e76\u56e0\u6b64\u66fe\u53d7\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u5f3a\u70c8\u8c34\u8d23\u3002\u963f\u5854\u6267\u653f\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5176\u4e3b\u6743\u56fd\u5bb6\u5730\u4f4d\u4ec5\u5f97\u5230\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e5f\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u66fe\u901a\u8fc7\u67d0\u79cd\u6e20\u9053\u79d8\u5bc6\u8d44\u52a9\u963f\u5854\u3002\u6709\u89c2\u70b9\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u963f\u5854\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u6742\u7cc5\u4e86\u4ee5\u5fb7\u5965\u73ed\u5fb7\u539f\u6559\u65e8\u4e3b\u4e49\uff08Deobandi Fundamentalism\uff09\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u201c\u521b\u65b0\u201d\u6c99\u91cc\u4e9a\u6559\u6cd5\u3001\u6fc0\u8fdb\u5b97\u6559\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u666e\u4ec0\u56fe\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u6587\u5316\u8303\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ece\u524d\u5fb7\u5965\u73ed\u5fb7\u54f2\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u9664\u4e86\u591a\u5143\u6587\u5316\u4e3b\u4e49\u5916\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8fd8\u8ba8\u8bba\u8fc7\u5370\u5ea6\u6559\u3001\u57fa\u7763\u6559\u548c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6559\u7684\u201c\u548c\u8c10\u56e2\u7ed3\u201d\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec20\u4e16\u7eaa70\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u5374\u5206\u88c2\u6210\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0d\u540c\u6d3e\u522b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u6240\u6709\u7684\u6d3e\u522b\u90fd\u66b4\u529b\u597d\u6218\uff0c\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u5fb7\u5965\u73ed\u5fb7\u6d3e\u4eba\u58eb20\u4e16\u7eaa70\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u83b7\u5f97\u5927\u6279\u519b\u706b\uff0c\u79ef\u6781\u53c2\u4e0e\u62b5\u6297\u548c\u9a71\u9010\u4fb5\u963f\u82cf\u519b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5927\u5927\u524a\u5f31\u548c\u5206\u6563\u82cf\u8054\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u52a9\u529b\u82cf\u8054\u89e3\u4f53\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u5e74\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u88ab\u4e45\u7ecf\u6c99\u573a\u7684\u5b97\u6559\u6781\u7aef\u52bf\u529b\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u7528\u4e8e\u5bf9\u6297\u7f8e\u519b\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u963f\u5854\u7684\u9996\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u6cbb\u7406\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb40\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5374\u9700\u8981\u6253\u8d62\u770b\u4f3c\u6c38\u4e0d\u505c\u6b62\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u624d\u80fd\u8fbe\u6210\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5916\u957f\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b(Sergey Lavrov)\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u82e5\u8981\u7ec4\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u6548\u7684\u4e14\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u5e76\u5b9e\u73b0\u95ee\u9898\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u963f\u5854\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u53c2\u4e0e\u8fdb\u6765\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4e5f\u6301\u76f8\u4f3c\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u6700\u8fd1\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u662f\u65f6\u5019\u8ba9\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4eba\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u627f\u62c5\u8d23\u4efb\u4e86\u3002\u201d\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u5728\u4e0e\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5080\u5121\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u5e9c\u4f5c\u6218\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u963f\u5854\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u5728\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5b97\u6559\u6781\u7aef\u52bf\u529b\u56e2\u4f19\u4f5c\u6218\u2014\u2014\u5305\u62ec\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\uff01\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u4e3b\u8111\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u201c\u6e05\u9664\u6240\u6709\u5916\u6765\u6587\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u575a\u4fe1\u201c\u57fa\u7763\u6559-\u72b9\u592a\u8054\u76df\u6b63\u5728\u5bc6\u8c0b\u6467\u6bc1\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u7684\u4fe1\u4ef0\u201d\u3002\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6bd4\u963f\u5854\u66f4\u6781\u7aef\u3001\u66f4\u66b4\u529b\u7684\u5b97\u6559\u6781\u7aef\u4e3b\u4e49\u6b66\u88c5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u2014\u2014\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6240\u8c13\u201c\u5723\u6218\u8005\u201d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8feb\u5bb3\u5e73\u6c11\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6d3e\u522b\u53d7\u5230\u6559\u6cd5\u9f13\u52b1\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u5e0c\u671b\u628a\u201c\u6218\u706b\u201d\u5e26\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1b\u6e34\u671b\u4e25\u4e1d\u5408\u7f1d\u6267\u884c\u6c99\u91cc\u4e9a\u6559\u6cd5\u3002\u53d7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6781\u7aef\u89c2\u70b9\u5506\u4f7f\uff0c\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e38\u5e38\u88ad\u51fb\u88ab\u5176\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u654c\u4eba\u201d\u6216\u201c\u975e\u4fe1\u4ef0\u8005\u201d\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u717d\u52a8\u6559\u6d3e\u66b4\u529b\u3002\u672c\u00b7\u62c9\u767b2011\u5e74\u6b7b\u540e\uff0c\u57c3\u53ca\u4eba\u827e\u66fc\u00b7\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc(Ayman al-Zawahiri)\u5f00\u59cb\u9886\u5bfc\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u636e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4ece2021\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e2d\u592e\u6307\u6325\u80fd\u529b\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u4e2d\u4e8e\u57c3\u53ca\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6210\u5458\u5927\u591a\u5e76\u975e\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4eba\u3002\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\u636e\u79f0\u6210\u7acb\u4e8e1999\u5e74\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u53ea\u662f\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5206\u652f\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u81ea2003\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u8054\u519b\u5165\u4fb5\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u79ef\u6781\u5728\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u5883\u5185\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

2014\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u81ea\u8be9\u5efa\u7acb\u201c\u5168\u7403\u54c8\u91cc\u53d1\u56fd\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u5f00\u59cb\u79f0\u81ea\u5df1\u4e3a\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd8\u5377\u5165\u4e0e\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\u7684\u62e5\u8db8\u4e00\u822c\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4eba\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u89c4\u6a21\u66f4\u5c0f\u7684\u6d3e\u522b\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6d3e\u522b\u5f7c\u6b64\u95f4\u4e5f\u7ecf\u5e38\u51fa\u4e8e\u6240\u5c5e\u90e8\u65cf\u4e0d\u540c\u3001\u5bf9\u6559\u4e49\u89e3\u8bfb\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u540c\u7b49\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u7206\u53d1\u5c0f\u89c4\u6a21\u7ea0\u7eb7\u548c\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5927\u591a\u6570\u90fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u6b27\u6d32\u62b1\u6709\u6839\u6df1\u8482\u56fa\u7684\u4ec7\u89c6\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u654c\u89c6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u8f7b\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ec7\u89c6\u4ecd\u4f1a\u5728\u5f53\u5730\u793e\u533a\u840c\u53d1\uff0c\u5e76\u5411\u6b27\u4e9a\u5927\u9646\u7eb5\u6df1\u8513\u5ef6\u2014\u2014\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u56fd\u5bb6\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u66fe\u53d1\u751f\u72ec\u72fc\u5f0f\u6050\u6016\u88ad\u51fb\u5c31\u662f\u4f8b\u8bc1\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u963f\u5854\u786e\u5b9e\u8ba4\u5b9a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u72af\u4e0b\u66b4\u884c\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u8fdb\u884c\u62a5\u590d\u8fd8\u6709\u5f85\u89c2\u5bdf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6551\u6d4e\u7f51(United Nations Relief Web)\u95e8\u6237\u7f51\u7ad9\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c2016\u5e74\u81f32020\u5e74\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7a7a\u88ad\u7d2f\u8ba1\u9020\u6210\u5e73\u6c11\u4f24\u4ea13977\u4eba\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea12122\u4eba\uff0c\u53d7\u4f241855\u4eba\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u67091598\u540d\u513f\u7ae5\u4f24\u4ea1\uff08\u5176\u4e2d785\u540d\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c813\u540d\u53d7\u4f24\uff09\uff0c\u8fbe40%\u3002\u8fd9\u52bf\u5fc5\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u4e00\u8fde\u4e32\u9057\u7559\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5730\u533a\u5b89\u5168\u67b6\u6784\u7684\u4e0a\u6d77\u5408\u4f5c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u80fd\u5426\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\uff1f \u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd<\/h2>\n

\u5728\u79ef\u6781\u63a8\u8fdb\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u91cd\u5efa\u3002\u6bd4\u8d77\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u8fc7\u5b50\u5f39\u548c\u7a7a\u88ad\u5230\u9707\u6151\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u7ee7\u800c\u5f3a\u884c\u63a8\u52a8\u975e\u4f20\u7edf\u3001\u6613\u88ab\u64cd\u7eb5\u7684\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u4f53\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9009\u62e9\u5c0a\u91cd\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u957f\u8005\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u2014\u2014\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u751f\u6d3b\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4e2d\u79ef\u7d2f\u7684\u667a\u6167\uff0c\u6bd4\u540c\u6837\u62e5\u6709\u9009\u4e3e\u6743\u768418\u5c81\u516c\u6c11\uff08\u82e5\u6309\u7167\u201c\u897f\u65b9\u6c11\u4e3b\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u201d\u6765\u770b\uff09\u66f4\u8981\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e00\u7b79\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u6070\u6070\u66f4\u7b26\u5408\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u4eba\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u88ab\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u5165\u4fb5\u8005\u201d\u2014\u2014\u56e0\u4e3a\u90a3\u4e9b\u88ab\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u89c6\u4e3a\u5165\u4fb5\u8005\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e9a\u5386\u5c71\u5927\u5927\u5e1d\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u4eba\u3001\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u90fd\u88ab\u6253\u5f97\u9f3b\u8840\u6dcb\u6f13\u3002\u5728\u519b\u4e8b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b63\u79ef\u6781\u5e2e\u52a9\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u8bad\u7ec3\u519b\u961f\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u6050\u6016\u5206\u5b50\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u4e0e\u63d2\u624b\u5468\u8fb9\u51b2\u7a81\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u5e9c\u66f4\u5e0c\u671b\u5bfb\u6c42\u7a33\u5b9a\u3001\u521b\u9020\u8d22\u5bcc\u3002<\/p>\n

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2010\u5e74\uff0c\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u5730\u94c1\u906d\u5230\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6050\u6016\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u4e24\u8d77\u7206\u70b8\u76f8\u969440\u5206\u949f\uff0c\u9020\u621038\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5728\u4f0f\u5c14\u52a0\u683c\u52d2\uff0c\u81ea\u6740\u5f0f\u70b8\u5f39\u88ad\u51fb\u5728\u4e00\u5bb6\u8d85\u5e02\u70b8\u6b7b50\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4e0e\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6709\u5173\u30022017\u5e74\uff0c\u5723\u5f7c\u5f97\u5821\u5730\u94c1\u53d1\u751f\u7206\u70b8\uff0c\u9020\u621015\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u800c\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\u58f0\u79f0\u5bf9\u6b64\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u201c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u201d\u8fd8\u70b8\u6bc1\u4e00\u67b6\u98de\u5f80\u5723\u5f7c\u5f97\u5821\u666e\u5c14\u79d1\u6c83\u673a\u573a\u7684\u7a7a\u5ba2A321\uff0c\u673a\u4e0a217\u540d\u4e58\u5ba2\u548c7\u540d\u673a\u7ec4\u4eba\u5458\u5168\u90e8\u9047\u96be\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56db\u3001\u901a\u8fc7\u8d38\u6613\u5b9e\u73b0\u548c\u5e73\uff1a<\/h2>\n

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\u8be5\u9879\u76ee\u51e0\u4e4e\u5df2\u7ae3\u5de5\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u963f\u5854\u4e0e\u7f8e\u519b\u7684\u6218\u6597\u9020\u6210\u4e00\u5b9a\u5ef6\u8bef\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e2d\u7684\u63d0\u8bae\u662f\u201c\u8de8\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u94c1\u8def\u8ba1\u5212\u201d(Trans-Afghan Railway)\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u8054\u901a\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5357\u90e8\u6e2f\u53e3\u4e0e\u4e4c\u5179\u522b\u514b\u65af\u5766\u7b49\u5185\u9646\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c573\u516c\u91cc\u5c06\u4ece\u4e4c\u5179\u522b\u514b\u8fb9\u754c\u94c1\u5c14\u6885\u5179(Termez)\u7a7f\u8fc7\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\uff0c\u8fde\u63a5\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u9a6c\u624e\u91cc\u6c99\u91cc\u592b\u5230\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\uff0c\u518d\u81f3\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u767d\u6c99\u74e6\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6b64\u63a5\u5165\u5df4\u56fd\u5bb6\u94c1\u8def\u7f51\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u534f\u8bae\u7531\u73b0\u4efb\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u5e9c\u7b7e\u7f72\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5c4a\u653f\u5e9c\u6050\u6015\u65f6\u65e5\u65e0\u591a\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u88ab\u963f\u5854\u53d6\u4ee3\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u8c08\u5224\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8c01\u5c06\u638c\u6743\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5efa\u7acb\u4f55\u79cd\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u6216\u51c6\u5907\u5982\u4f55\u4e0e\u5f53\u6743\u8005\u6c9f\u901a\uff0c\u90fd\u8fd8\u6709\u5f85\u89c2\u5bdf\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6240\u5904\u7684\u6b27\u4e9a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u533a\u8986\u76d6\u8fd14\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u9700\u6c42\u4e0d\u53ef\u5c0f\u89d1\u3002\u65f6\u9694\u591a\u5e74\uff0c\u963f\u5854\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u6b21\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u79c9\u56fd\u6301\u653f\uff0c\u8fd8\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e2d\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u767b\u4e0a\u6267\u653f\u821e\u53f0\u4e5f\u8bb8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e25\u683c\u3001\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u653f\u6743\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u4eec\u603b\u4f1a\u5fc3\u6000\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u5f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5916\u56fd\u519b\u961f\u5165\u4fb5\u3001\u5a01\u538b\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u9010\u6e10\u892a\u53bb\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5021\u8bae\u624d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u80fd\u5f00\u542f\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5168\u90e8\u6f5c\u529b\u7684\u94a5\u5319\u3002\u672c\u6587\u7f16\u8bd1\u81eaSilk Road Briefing \u6742\u5fd72021\u5e747\u67087\u65e5\u6587\u7ae0\u539f\u6807\u9898\u4e3aThe Afghanistan Belt And Road: China\u2019s Opportunity Or A US Exited Death Trap?<\/p>\n

\u4f5c\u8005\u4e3aChris Devonshire-Ellis\u672c\u671f\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u675c\u6587\u777f \u6c5f\u6021<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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