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2018\u5e74\uff0c\u7ea695%\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u7535\u529b\uff0c\u800c10\u5e74\u524d\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u53ea\u670972%\uff1b\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u53e3\u90fd\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u57fa\u672c\u536b\u751f\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002\u81ea2011\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5728\u201c\u666e\u60e0\u91d1\u878d\u201d\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0b\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u81f3\u5c11\u4e00\u4e2a\u94f6\u884c\u8d26\u6237\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u6240\u5360\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7ffb\u4e86\u4e00\u500d\u591a\uff0c\u57282017\u5e74\u8fbe\u523080%\u3002\u6210\u4eba\u975e\u6587\u76f2\u7387\u4ece1980\u5e74\u768445%\u4e0a\u5347\u4e3a85%\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u4ece65\u5c81\u4e0a\u5347\u4e3a68.8\u5c81\u3002\u9053\u8def\u4ea4\u901a\u3001\u7535\u529b\u7b49\u57fa\u7840\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e5f\u5f97\u5230\u8f83\u5feb\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u8425\u5546\u73af\u5883\u663e\u8457\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8425\u5546\u73af\u5883\u6392\u540d\u4e2d\u4ece2015\u5e74\u7684142\u4f4d\u4e0a\u5347\u81f32019\u5e74\u768477\u4f4d\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u57282016\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5448\u73b0\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

IMF\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u5168\u7403\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7b49\u8457\u540d\u673a\u6784\u7684\u5206\u6790\u62a5\u544a\u90fd\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\uff0c\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u8981\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u65e2\u6709\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6709\u5229\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u6839\u636e\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u5168\u7403\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5370\u5ea6\u653f\u5e9c\u80fd\u591f\u53ca\u65f6\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u6539\u9769\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u4ee5\u81f3\u6d88\u9664\u76ee\u524d\u963b\u788d\u63d0\u9ad8\u52b3\u52a8\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u7684\u969c\u788d\uff0c\u52302030\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fd8\u6709\u6f5c\u529b\u51fa\u73b07%~8%\u7684\u9ad8\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u964d\u4f4e\u52305%\u5de6\u53f3\uff1b\u52302030\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5c06\u67099000\u4e07\u540d\u5de5\u4eba\u5bfb\u627e\u975e\u519c\u4e1a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u6bcf\u5e748.0%~8.5%\u7684GDP\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u521b\u90201200\u4e07\u4e2a\u6709\u916c\u975e\u519c\u4e1a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c2013\u4e002018\u8d22\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u6bcf\u5e74\u4ec5\u521b\u9020\u51fa400\u4e07\u4e2a\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u91c7\u53d6\u7d27\u6025\u63aa\u65bd\u523a\u6fc0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u76f4\u52302030\u5e74\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u6709\u5e74\u57475%\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e0d\u80fd\u4e3a\u65b0\u589e\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u9002\u5f53\u62a5\u916c\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u9677\u4e8e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u6536\u5165\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u8d28\u91cf\u505c\u6ede\u4e0d\u524d\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1aCEIC\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u53ca\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba1\u7b97\u800c\u5f97 \uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7279\u5f81<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4ece\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u770b\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u8d77\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\u76f8\u5bf9\u6ede\u540e\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4e00\u76f4\u4fdd\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5e74\u4efd\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff08\u56fe2)\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u6210\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u5360GDP\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u4ece1991\u5e74\u768440%\u4e0a\u5347\u4e3a2019\u5e74\u768455%\uff08\u56fe3\uff09\u3002\u5de5\u4e1a\u5360GDP\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u4fdd\u6301\u572825%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4ec5\u96c7\u7528\u4e8618%\u7684\u603b\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u4ece2016\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u589e\u901f\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5370\u5ea6\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\u6240\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u969c\u788d\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9ad8\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u670d\u52a1\u5916\u5305\uff0c\u5373\u5370\u5ea6\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u53d8\u7f13\u3001\u53bb\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u52a0\u6df1\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u5bc6\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u5c06\u5bf9\u5370\u5ea6\u627f\u63a5\u670d\u52a1\u5916\u5305\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u53d7\u5230\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u7b49\u56fd\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u51fa\u53e3\u5bf9GDP\u7684\u62c9\u52a8\u4f5c\u7528\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5f31\u5316\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u66f4\u52a0\u9700\u8981\u901a\u8fc7\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6765\u63a8\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u56db\u3001\u7ed3\u8bba\u603b\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5b58<\/h2>\n

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