{"id":1549,"date":"2022-08-11T22:41:03","date_gmt":"2022-08-11T14:41:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=1549"},"modified":"2022-08-11T22:41:03","modified_gmt":"2022-08-11T14:41:03","slug":"%e8%af%84%e8%ae%ba-%e5%a4%b4%e7%9b%ae%e6%89%8e%e7%93%a6%e5%b8%8c%e9%87%8c%e8%a2%ab%e7%be%8e%e6%9a%97%e6%9d%80%e5%90%8e%ef%bc%8c%e5%9f%ba%e5%9c%b0%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87%e4%bd%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nyyjtx.cn\/?p=1549","title":{"rendered":"\u8bc4\u8bba | \u5934\u76ee\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u88ab\u7f8e\u6697\u6740\u540e\uff0c\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u201d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4f55\u53bb\u4f55\u4ece\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a<\/strong>Murat Sofuoglu
\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>\u5357\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8baf
\u539f\u6587\uff1a<\/strong>\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\u539f\u6587<\/a>
\u672c\u6587\u51712832\u5b57\u9605\u8bfb\u9884\u8ba19\u5206\u949f<\/div>\n

\u4f5c\u8005 | Murat Sofuoglu\u7f16\u8bd1 | \u7d22\u6797\u00b7\u6a61\u6728\u76fe\u7f16\u8f91 | \u6c5f\u6021 \u7a46\u794e\u74a0\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u906d\u7f8e\u56fd\u6697\u6740\u65f6\u6240\u5904\u7684\u9633\u53f0\u3002\u56fe\u6e90\uff1a\u201c\u5357\u6d0b\u98ce\u4e91\u5f55\u201d\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7 \u7531\u4e8e\u827e\u66fc\u00b7\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc(Ayman Zawahiri)\u65e9\u572820\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\u5c31\u66fe\u53c2\u4e0e\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5efa\u7acb\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ed6\u672c\u4eba\u5728\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5730\u533a\u5206\u652f\u4e4b\u95f4\u62e5\u6709\u5d07\u9ad8\u7684\u58f0\u671b\u548c\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u3002\u4f46\u4e13\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u4eba\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5185\u90e8\u62e5\u6709\u5982\u6b64\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u3002\u57282011\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fb\u6bd9\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u5965\u8428\u9a6c\u00b7\u672c\u00b7\u62c9\u767b\u540e\uff0c\u827e\u66fc\u00b7\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u6210\u4e3a\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6700\u9ad8\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002\u591a\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e00\u76f4\u63a7\u5236\u7740\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u6050\u60e7\u7684\u6b66\u88c5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002<\/p>\n

2022\u5e748\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u547d\u4ee4\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u67b6\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u51fb\u4e2d\u4e86\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u9996\u90fd\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u7684\u4e00\u5904\u5b89\u5168\u5c4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d71\u5c81\u7684\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5f53\u573a\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u867d\u7136\u62c9\u767b\u548c\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u90fd\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u4e1c\u7684\u8d35\u65cf\u5bb6\u5ead\u2014\u2014\u62c9\u767b\u6765\u81ea\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\uff0c\u800c\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u6765\u81ea\u57c3\u53ca\u2014\u2014\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4f1a\u572820\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\u53cd\u6297\u82cf\u8054\u9738\u6743\u6700\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u76f8\u9047\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u652f\u6301\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5bf9\u6297\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4f4d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u90fd\u79f0\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4eba\u30021988\u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u767d\u6c99\u74e6\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u2014\u2014\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5f53\u65f6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5f15\u8d77\u534e\u76db\u987f\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u4eba\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u65e5\u540e\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u4f1a\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e24\u4f4d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8fd8\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u5728\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u7edf\u6cbb\u7684\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u88ab\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u6740\u5bb3\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a92\u4f53\u79f0\uff0c\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u88ab\u6740\u7684\u5730\u70b9\u662f\u5b89\u5168\u5c4b\u7684\u9633\u53f0\uff0c\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u7ecf\u5e38\u53bb\u90a3\u91cc\u547c\u5438\u65b0\u9c9c\u7a7a\u6c14\u3002\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5728\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u88ab\u6740\u540e\uff0c\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u4e00\u9879\u8270\u5de8\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u5176\u5728\u5f53\u5730\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u9635\u7ebf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u4fb5\u8680\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u3002\u201c\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u6b7b\u540e\uff0c\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5c06\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u5931\u53bb\u66f4\u591a\u6743\u529b\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u5176\u5728\u4e5f\u95e8\u3001\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u4f1a\u66f4\u52a0\u6d3b\u8dc3\u3002\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u73b0\u5728\u6bd4\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\uff0c\u201d\u519b\u4e8b\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u3001\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a(Atlantic Council)\u975e\u5e38\u9a7b\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u5361\u8fc8\u52d2\u00b7\u963f\u62c9\u59c6(Kamal Alam)\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u672c\u8eab\u5728\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u6c5f\u6cb3\u65e5\u4e0b\u3002\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u5728\u6218\u672f\u5c42\u9762\u5df2\u7ecf\u65e0\u5173\u7d27\u8981\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u97f3\u9891\u548c\u89c6\u9891\u78c1\u5e26\u7684\u9664\u4e86\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u5e76\u4e0d\u5177\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u201d\u963f\u62c9\u59c6\u544a\u8bc9TRT World\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u7684\u662f\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5bf9\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u6b63\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e4e\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5206\u652f\u7684\u5c0a\u91cd\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u667a\u5e93\u201c\u56fd\u9645\u5371\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u201d(International Crisis group)\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u5fb7\u96f7\u6587(Jerome Drevon)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5f88\u96be\u53d6\u4ee3\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u800c\u9274\u4e8e\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u65e5\u76ca\u5206\u6563\u7684\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u65b0\u603b\u53f8\u4ee4\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u201c\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u201d\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6307\u5b9a\u4e00\u5bb6\u5730\u533a\u5206\u652f\u7684\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u63a5\u66ff\u5927\u4f4d\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u96be\u8ba9\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u5206\u652f\u670d\u6c14\u3002\u5173\u952e\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u62e5\u6709\u672c\u00b7\u62c9\u767b\u6216\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u58f0\u671b\u548c\u4fe1\u8a89\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4efb\u4f55\u9009\u62e9\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5185\u90e8\u5f15\u53d1\u4e89\u8bae\uff0c\u201d\u5fb7\u96f7\u4e07\u544a\u8bc9\u8bb0\u8005\u3002\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u3001\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u7f8e\u5229\u575a\u5927\u5b66(American University)\u8bb2\u5e08\u5965\u62dc\u675c\u62c9\u00b7\u5df4\u8d6b\u5c14(Obaidullah Baheer)\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5931\u53bb\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u5df4\u8d6b\u5c14\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u624e\u74e6\u5e0c\u91cc\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u786e\u7684\u7ee7\u4efb\u8005\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5185\u90e8\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u593a\u5ae1\u4e89\u4f4d\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u5f88\u96be\u8bc4\u4f30\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5206\u652f\u5bf9\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u662f\u5927\u8fd8\u662f\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n

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